TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 10:41 AM EST
Kalshi
During its upcoming earnings call, Home Depot executives will discuss various aspects of the company's performance and strategic direction. Investors and analysts often focus on whether specific key terms are mentioned, as these can signal important trends or challenges the company is facing.
Each market resolves to Yes if a specified term is uttered by any Home Depot representative during the earnings call, including the Q+A session. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the call; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts from designated news publications will be referenced. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must appear—grammatical or tense variations do not count. All markets share this uniform verification process.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where bids and asks determine the current odds. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with market depth influencing how quickly prices adjust. Liquidity, measured by volume of $101,610 and 24-hour volume of $62,720, helps determine price stability. Traders can also place bets on under or over probabilities, which shifts the market price based on new information or speculative interest.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution is based on whether specific phrases or topics are actually mentioned during the earnings call transcript or associated press materials, as reported by reputable news outlets and official company releases. Once verified, the market settles automatically according to the rules defined on Kalshi, closing all positions and determining final payouts for participants.
Pre-earnings announcements, analyst commentary, and macroeconomic data releases can shift expectations and move this market. Media speculation about potential topics or surprises ahead of the call may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute changes in Home Depot’s guidance, strategy updates, or leadership statements released before the call could cause rapid adjustments in odds. Volume spikes or large trades on Kalshi often reflect these emerging signals, providing early clues about market direction.