TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Home Depot say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Home Depot say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$101,610

Lumber

 - Kalshi

Lumber - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 10:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lumber

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,484
N/A
N/A
$9,372
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,875
N/A
N/A
$5,898
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Mexico

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,136
N/A
N/A
$5,339
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Storm

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,078
N/A
N/A
$5,143
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Volatility

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,947
N/A
N/A
$5,110
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Innovation

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,417
N/A
N/A
$3,650
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Weather

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,672
N/A
N/A
$3,513
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Inflation

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,755
N/A
N/A
$10,470
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Revenue

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,350
N/A
N/A
$9,674
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

E-Commerce

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,036
N/A
N/A
$4,233
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Headwind

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,132
N/A
N/A
$3,003
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Synergy

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,044
N/A
N/A
$2,726
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Competition

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,239
N/A
N/A
$2,511
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Shutdown

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,192
N/A
N/A
$2,788
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,253
N/A
N/A
$1,510
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 15

Description

During its upcoming earnings call, Home Depot executives will discuss various aspects of the company's performance and strategic direction. Investors and analysts often focus on whether specific key terms are mentioned, as these can signal important trends or challenges the company is facing.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if a specified term is uttered by any Home Depot representative during the earnings call, including the Q+A session. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the call; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts from designated news publications will be referenced. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must appear—grammatical or tense variations do not count. All markets share this uniform verification process.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking view. Analysts may issue consensus estimates based on historical performance and guidance, while traders in this market incorporate real-time sentiment, news flow, and market positioning. If analyst predictions lean toward a specific outcome, this market could amplify or dampen those expectations based on collective trader behavior. Divergences between analyst targets and market odds can signal emerging trends or unexpected sentiment shifts among investors and participants.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where bids and asks determine the current odds. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with market depth influencing how quickly prices adjust. Liquidity, measured by volume of $101,610 and 24-hour volume of $62,720, helps determine price stability. Traders can also place bets on under or over probabilities, which shifts the market price based on new information or speculative interest.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution is based on whether specific phrases or topics are actually mentioned during the earnings call transcript or associated press materials, as reported by reputable news outlets and official company releases. Once verified, the market settles automatically according to the rules defined on Kalshi, closing all positions and determining final payouts for participants.

Pre-earnings announcements, analyst commentary, and macroeconomic data releases can shift expectations and move this market. Media speculation about potential topics or surprises ahead of the call may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute changes in Home Depot’s guidance, strategy updates, or leadership statements released before the call could cause rapid adjustments in odds. Volume spikes or large trades on Kalshi often reflect these emerging signals, providing early clues about market direction.