TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.6b
24H VOL:
$161,047,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,744,915,607
504,917
Markets across
37,612
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,946
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times)
- Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times) - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 18d:19h:20m
$
During a scheduled corporate earnings call, participants may discuss various topics relevant to the company's performance and strategy. The specific mention of certain predefined terms during this presentation and Q&A session will determine the outcome of associated evaluations.
The event evaluates whether specific predefined terms are mentioned by any Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. representative during their next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase. If the exact term, or its plural/possessive form, is uttered at any point during the call, the associated market resolves to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the event; if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees, official transcripts from designated news publications will be used as the fallback reference. Grammatical or tense variations of the terms do not count toward payout qualifications. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of PredictionHero traders regarding what Hilton management will say. These probabilities can differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on models and individual opinions. This market offers a unique perspective, aggregating insights from a diverse group of participants. It’s possible that traders are anticipating specific themes or concerns not yet fully captured in standard analyst reports, or that they have different interpretations of Hilton's recent performance. Observing these differences can be valuable when forming your own expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a specific statement will be made during the Hilton earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic and efficient market for forecasting the content of the earnings call. The current market prices are driven by supply and demand among PredictionHero users.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, following the conclusion of Hilton’s next earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verifying whether the statements in question were made by Hilton executives. The resolution process will confirm whether each statement was explicitly mentioned during the call, as documented in the official record. The outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 10, 2026. Any pre-earnings announcements from Hilton regarding key performance indicators, strategic shifts, or anticipated challenges could shift trader sentiment. Broader economic news, particularly related to the hospitality industry or consumer spending, could also influence expectations. Unexpected statements from competitors during their earnings calls might prompt traders to reassess their views on Hilton's likely messaging. Finally, any major news events affecting travel or the overall economic climate could introduce volatility into this market.