TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
limitless

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Volume:
$4

↓ $4,100

 - Limitless

↓ $4,100 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↓ $4,100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $4,050

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $4,500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,450

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,400

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,350

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,300

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,250

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,200

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $4,150

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $4,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $3,950

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $3,900

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $3,850

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's challenging to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. Analysts frequently focus on fundamental economic factors, while this market reflects the collective judgment of traders considering both fundamental and potentially unforeseen events. It's worth noting that prediction markets have historically demonstrated accuracy in forecasting various outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of expert polls and conventional analysis.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future price of Gold (XAUUSD). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability distribution. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, and the market is constantly adjusting to new information and trading activity. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome for the specified week.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the average price of Gold (XAUUSD) during the week of October 19, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized financial data provider. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final price.

Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 23, 2026. Major geopolitical events, unexpected shifts in global economic conditions (like inflation rates or interest rate changes), and significant fluctuations in the US dollar’s value are all potential catalysts. Central bank announcements regarding monetary policy, particularly those related to gold reserves or inflation targets, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, any surprising news related to major gold-producing countries or large institutional investors could move the market.