TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 31 2026?
limitless

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 31 2026?

Volume:
$173

↓ $4,300

 - Limitless

↓ $4,300 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↓ $4,300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $4,500

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $4,250

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,550

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,800

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,750

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,700

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,650

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,600

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $4,350

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $4,200

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $4,150

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, the odds in this market reflect trader sentiment about where gold will trade during the target week. Unlike spot price forecasts from analysts, these odds capture collective investor confidence or skepticism shaped by macro trends. If bullish sentiment dominates, the probability of higher milestones may rise. Still, short-term volatility and risk-off flows can quickly shift expectations, making this market a dynamic barometer of near-term gold price psychology rather than a static prediction.

On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this market is priced through a decentralized process where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible gold price milestones. The current probability reflects the ratio of contracts for each outcome, influenced by recent trading volume and large orders. As the Sep 4, 2026 window approaches, tighter pricing may emerge if volume increases, allowing traders to hedge or speculate on short-term gold dynamics.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on whether gold reaches the specified milestone during the defined week, determined by widely accepted gold price data sources.

Key drivers include central bank announcements, especially from major reserve holders, and shifts in U.S. real yields that influence gold’s appeal. Geopolitical tensions or sudden risk aversion can also boost demand for the metal. Additionally, unexpected changes in currency strength — particularly the U.S. dollar — may affect this market. As Sep 4, 2026 nears, weekly jobs data, inflation readings, and Federal Reserve policy signals will likely trigger rapid re-pricing of probabilities.