TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?

Volume:
$329,312

↑ $4,350

 - Polymarket

↑ $4,350 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 10:32 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $4,350

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$40,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4304.99

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,795
N/A
N/A
$15,396
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4324.99

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,356
N/A
N/A
$7,406
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4264.99

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,596
N/A
N/A
$7,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4244.99

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,029
N/A
N/A
$1,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4224.99

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,518
N/A
N/A
$4,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4284.99

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,408
N/A
N/A
$3,118
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4204.99

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,319
N/A
N/A
$5,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4104.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,989
N/A
N/A
$3,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4084.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,608
N/A
N/A
$1,674
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4044.99

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,018
N/A
N/A
$1,125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3764.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,928
N/A
N/A
$2,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4064.99

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,641
N/A
N/A
$1,437
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3824.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,545
N/A
N/A
$2,545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4184.99

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,516
N/A
N/A
$1,450
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4164.99

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,030
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4024.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,661
N/A
N/A
$1,022
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3984.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,438
N/A
N/A
$1,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4144.99

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,345
N/A
N/A
$607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4004.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
$870
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This event group tracks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific price thresholds during the week of August 3, 2026. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with Kalshi focusing on the closing price of a specific 1-minute candlestick on August 7, 2026, and Polymarket focusing on any high price achieved during trading sessions that week.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Scope DifferenceHero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets due to the differing resolution criteria. Kalshi markets resolve on a specific closing price at a specific time, while Polymarket markets resolve on any high price achieved during the trading week. This can lead to different outcomes for the same price level.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the close price is above the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond the listed price. Only prices achieved during applicable trading sessions will be considered.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on August 07, 2026. If this price exceeds the specified threshold for any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price refers to the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval—for example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Gold price milestone market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the chance of gold reaching specific levels in the target week. It displays consensus odds, volume of $329,312, and 24-hour volume of $174,595, letting users see where prediction markets stand relative to each other.