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$134.1b

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$133,388,117

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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 17 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 17 2026?

Volume:
$237,447

Above $4595.99

 - Kalshi

Above $4595.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4595.99

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,141
N/A
N/A
$11,091
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4575.99

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,154
N/A
N/A
$6,484
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4555.99

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,775
N/A
N/A
$4,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4515.99

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,451
N/A
N/A
$5,198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4535.99

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,774
N/A
N/A
$2,034
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,550

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4375.99

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,184
N/A
N/A
$1,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4355.99

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,191
N/A
N/A
$858
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,450

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4415.99

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,472
N/A
N/A
$1,083
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,600

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4395.99

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,375
N/A
N/A
$695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4495.99

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,354
N/A
N/A
$1,323
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4475.99

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,170
N/A
N/A
$864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4435.99

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,819
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4455.99

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,210
N/A
N/A
$1,070
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,500

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4315.99

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,646
N/A
N/A
$486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3955.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,614
N/A
N/A
$1,614
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4335.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,611
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4275.99

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
$839
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4295.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,350

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4195.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This event group tracks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific price thresholds during the week of August 17, 2026. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with Kalshi focusing on closing prices and Polymarket focusing on intraday highs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Scope DifferenceHero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets as they resolve differently. Polymarket markets are triggered by intraday highs, while Kalshi markets require the closing price on a specific date to meet the threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves if any 1-minute candle’s high reaches or exceeds the listed price during trading sessions of the week of August 17, 2026. Source: Pyth data for Gold (XAUUSD) 1-minute candles.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above the listed price.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 17 2026?

Kalshi

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3955.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3975.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3995.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4015.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4035.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4055.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4075.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4095.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4115.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4135.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4155.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4175.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4195.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4215.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4235.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4255.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4275.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4295.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4315.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4335.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4355.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4375.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4395.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4415.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4435.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4455.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4475.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4495.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4515.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4535.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4555.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4575.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4595.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4615.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4635.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4655.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4675.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4695.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4715.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4735.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.