TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above $4349.99
- Kalshi
Above $4349.99 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Latest in Commodities
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific price thresholds during the week of August 10, 2026. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with Kalshi focusing on the closing price of a specific 1-minute candlestick on August 14, 2026, and Polymarket focusing on whether the price reached a high or low threshold at any point during trading sessions in that week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Scope DifferenceHero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets due to the significant differences in resolution criteria. Kalshi markets resolve on a single closing price, while Polymarket markets resolve on any high or low price reached during the week. This means a market could resolve differently on each platform even if the actual price movement is identical.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: Resolves based on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT being above specified thresholds. Key Quote: "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes."
- Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if, at any point during trading sessions of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond the listed price. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 10 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price."
Polymarket
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 10 2026?
Kalshi
Multiple markets exist, each tied to a distinct price threshold for gold's closing value on August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. All markets share identical procedural rules: resolution hinges on the 1-minute candlestick close price, rounded to two decimal places. The closing price represents the final trade price of the minute ending at 5:00 PM EDT. If data for the exact timestamp is unavailable, the most recent prior published price determines the outcome. No projections or estimations are permitted; only actual recorded data from the specified source may be used for settlement.
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