What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of April 6 2026?

Critical divergence points:

• Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on any 1-minute candle low or high touched at any point during the entire week of April 6–11, 2026 (Sunday 6 PM ET through Friday 5 PM ET). Resolution source is Pyth 1-minute candle data, with CME COMEX Gold Futures (GC) daily lows/highs as fallback. The market asks 'Will Gold hit [price]?' during the week, not 'What will the price be at a specific time?' Example: 'Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of April 6 2026?' resolves YES if any 1-minute candle low reaches $4,400 or below during that 6-day window.
• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on the closing price of a single 1-minute candlestick at exactly 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026 (a single point-in-time snapshot, not a range). All 30 Kalshi markets use identical timing and settlement value: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on April 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a price-level bet at one specific moment, not a price-touch bet over a week.