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400,720

Markets across

30,097

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5

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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
polymarket
predict

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Volume:
$14,000,682

↓ $4,200

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 1:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $4,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$421,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↓ $4,200

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$264,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $4,300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$133,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$78,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$61,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $5,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $5,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

↑ $8,500

View
N/A
N/A
—
$7,179
$2,185,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $8,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $8,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
$19,995
$1,665,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $8,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $10,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
$20,040
$1,547,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $10,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $5,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,515,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $5,500

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10,081
$98,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $7,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$690,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↑ $7,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$483,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $3,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

↓ $3,400

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,985
$6,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event group tracks whether CME Gold (GC) futures will reach specific price thresholds by the end of June 2026. Markets are split into HIGH (at or above) and LOW (at or below) categories across multiple price points ranging from $3,400 to $10,000 per ounce. Resolution depends on the official CME settlement price for the Active Month contract reaching the specified level on any trading day through June 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across both platforms use identical resolution criteria: official CME settlement price for Active Month Gold futures, evaluated on any trading day through June 30, 2026, with HIGH markets requiring price >= threshold and LOW markets requiring price <= threshold.Primary resolution logic: CME Group official settlement page for Gold (GC) futures - specifically the daily Settlement price for the Active Month (nearest designated delivery-cycle month: February, April, June, August, October, December that is not the spot month)

Core resolution logic:

  • HIGH markets resolve YES if CME settlement price for Active Month >= specified threshold on any trading day by June 30, 2026; otherwise NO
  • LOW markets resolve YES if CME settlement price for Active Month <= specified threshold on any trading day by June 30, 2026; otherwise NO
  • Only official CME-published settlement prices qualify; intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, and indicative prices do not count
  • Settlement price is evaluated as first published by CME on the CME settlement page, regardless of any later corrections or updates
  • Only trading days with CME-published settlement prices are included; weekends, holidays, and market closure days are ignored
  • Active Month automatically changes on the contract's First Position Date to the next eligible delivery-cycle month

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Active Month Transition: When the Active Month changes on First Position Date, resolution continues using the new Active Month's settlement price for the remainder of the observation period through June 30, 2026
  • Settlement Price Corrections: If CME publishes a correction to a settlement price after initial publication, the original published price (not the correction) is used for resolution
  • Multiple Threshold Breaches: If price reaches threshold on multiple days, market resolves YES on the first day threshold is reached; subsequent breaches do not affect resolution
  • Exact Threshold Match: HIGH markets resolve YES if price equals or exceeds threshold; LOW markets resolve YES if price equals or falls below threshold
  • No Trading Days Before June 30: If no CME settlement price is published for Active Month between market creation and June 30, 2026, market resolves NO (threshold never reached)
Timing: Resolution occurs on or after June 30, 2026, based on review of all CME settlement prices for the Active Month Gold futures contract from market creation (March 12, 2026) through the final trading day of June 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction and differ from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street forecasters typically issue point estimates or ranges based on macroeconomic models, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through continuous price discovery. Traders betting on specific gold price thresholds by June incorporate Fed policy expectations, inflation data, geopolitical risk, and technical levels. This crowd-sourced approach often captures forward-looking sentiment faster than consensus analyst surveys, though both frameworks offer complementary perspectives on gold's trajectory.

Gold prices and prediction market odds are sensitive to Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data releases, and changes in real interest rates. Geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and US dollar strength significantly influence gold demand. Treasury yield movements, recession fears, and equity market volatility also drive safe-haven flows into gold. Unexpected economic data—employment reports, CPI prints, or Fed communications—can trigger sharp repricing of gold targets. Technical breakouts above or below key resistance levels may accelerate trader positioning ahead of the June deadline, amplifying price swings and shifting implied probabilities on Polymarket.