TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will General Mills say during their next earnings call?
kalshi
polymarket

What will General Mills say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$43,057

Humanization

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 23, 11:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Humanization

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,537
N/A
N/A
$1,896
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Humanization

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blue Buffalo

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,210
N/A
N/A
$1,564
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Blue Buffalo

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Inflation / Inflationary

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
58.9¢
N/A
$2,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Inflation

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,296
N/A
N/A
$1,180
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Divestiture

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,023
N/A
N/A
$1,739
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Nielsen

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,998
N/A
N/A
$1,823
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Protein

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,608
N/A
N/A
$1,087
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Protein

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
29.9¢
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$1,079
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Headwind

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cheerios

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
$1,319
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Cheerios

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wilderness

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
$936
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Totino

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,065
N/A
N/A
$965
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Supply Chain

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
$990
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Supply Chain

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Quarter 15+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
29.8¢
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Certified Color

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,925
N/A
N/A
$2,501
6mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,087
N/A
N/A
$2,843
6mo 2d
No
kalshi

Brazil

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,278
N/A
N/A
$2,391
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Brazil

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Grands / Croissants

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,337
N/A
N/A
$1,725
6mo 2d
No
kalshi

GLP-1 / Ozempic

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,928
N/A
N/A
$1,414
6mo 2d
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

This group forecasts whether specific terms will be mentioned during General Mills' earnings calls. The markets aim to predict what topics will be discussed by company representatives, including the call operator, during the earnings announcement and subsequent Q&A session.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets have specific count thresholds for mentions, while Kalshi markets resolve on any mention of a term. Additionally, Polymarket includes a market on whether the call airs at all.Hero tip: Pay close attention to the specific thresholds on Polymarket. A single mention is sufficient for Kalshi markets, but Polymarket requires exceeding a specific count. Also, consider the risk of the earnings call being cancelled, which impacts Polymarket's 'no qualifying event' market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets focus on the *number* of times a term is mentioned (e.g., 15+ times for 'Quarter') or whether the call will occur. Resolution depends on a specific count threshold being met. Key Quote: "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement...and will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on a simple binary 'yes/no' – whether a term is mentioned *at all* by any representative during the call. Key Quote: "If Inflation is said by any General Mills, Inc. representative...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of General Mills currently scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Kalshi

The event centers on whether specific exact phrases are uttered by any General Mills representative during the company's next earnings call scheduled for September 23, 2026, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase; if that phrase—or its plural or possessive form—is spoken, the respective market resolves to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video recordings of the call. If employees of Kalshi cannot reach consensus using video, transcripts from the call will be examined using news publications listed in the contract. Grammatical or tense variations of the phrases do not count toward payout. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with General Mills, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially incorporating information and insights not immediately captured in traditional analyst forecasts. This market, specifically, allows traders to express their beliefs about the content of the General Mills earnings call, which may differ from consensus estimates of financial performance. While analysts focus on quantitative data, this market focuses on qualitative aspects – what topics will management prioritize and how will they frame their messaging? Comparing the implied probabilities from this market to analyst reports can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different trader bases and liquidity levels on Polymarket and Kalshi can lead to price discrepancies, even when tracking the same underlying event. For example, Polymarket might attract traders with a stronger focus on specific keywords related to General Mills’ supply chain, while Kalshi may have more participants focused on consumer trends. These differing perspectives can influence trading activity and, consequently, the odds displayed on each platform. Additionally, varying trading fees and platform features can contribute to these price differences.