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What will Gary Peters say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
kalshi

What will Gary Peters say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?

Volume:
$64,846

Republican

 - Kalshi

Republican - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 11:15 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Republican

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,089
N/A
N/A
$3,227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (2+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,011
N/A
N/A
$2,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hegseth

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,814
N/A
N/A
$2,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
$2,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,023
N/A
N/A
$1,817
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,492
N/A
N/A
$1,178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,466
N/A
N/A
$15,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,203
N/A
N/A
$12,577
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,721
N/A
N/A
$11,093
Settled
No
kalshi

Trillion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,341
N/A
N/A
$5,330
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,254
N/A
N/A
$2,244
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

During a television interview, a politician will be monitored for specific keyword mentions. The focus is on whether certain predefined terms are uttered during the live broadcast, with exact phrasing requirements for validation.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether Gary Peters utters specified exact phrases during an official appearance on The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell. Each market defines a unique target phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Hegseth", "Election", "Trillion"). The live broadcast serves as the primary source for verification, with official transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. For markets requiring multiple mentions (e.g., "Trump (2+ times)"), the phrase must appear the specified number of times. Promotional content within the broadcast counts toward resolution, but advertisements and content from separate recordings do not. If the event is canceled or fails to meet qualifying criteria (e.g., Peters does not speak in an official capacity), the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within 24 hours and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Resolution depends strictly on verbatim usage of the defined phrases during the authorized broadcast window.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Gary Peters statement market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $64,846. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of specific statements by Gary Peters during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell, updated continuously as new bets are placed. The volume of $64,846 reflects overall interest in this market.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this event often reflect a more nuanced view shaped by real-time trading activity. While analysts may issue broad projections, traders in this market continuously adjust prices based on evolving news, polling data, and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, where market odds either align closely with or drift notably from traditional forecasts, depending on recent developments surrounding Gary Peters and the show’s agenda.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their bids and offers. The current implied probability reflects the balance of these orders, showing what the market thinks is the chance of the specific statement occurring. Liquidity can shift quickly with new information, affecting the spread and depth of trading. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures collective trader sentiment in real time.

This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will watch the actual broadcast of The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell for any statements by Gary Peters that match the defined criteria. The result is determined by reviewing authoritative transcripts and news coverage after the show airs.

News about Gary Peters’ upcoming appearance, poll releases tracking public sentiment, and commentary from political analysts could all influence this market. Any indication of topic focus for The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell, such as promotional material or guest announcements, may shift trader expectations. Additionally, unexpected developments in the political landscape relating to Peters could cause rapid price changes as traders react to new information.