TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:16 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Dylan Field, during his keynote at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026, mentions specific technology-related terms. Markets will resolve based on verified video or transcript evidence of his official statements containing these terms.
Multiple markets exist for this event, each tied to a specific phrase or term that Dylan Field may say during his official remarks at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the exact phrase or word—either in singular, plural, or possessive form—is uttered by Dylan Field in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream of the conference. Proper nouns and noun phrases containing plural nouns also satisfy the criteria, as do either word in phrases separated by slashes (e.g., "OpenAI/ChatGPT"). Grammatical or tense variations do not count, nor does mere presence on camera without an audible, official statement. If the conference is canceled or fails to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day with a reschedule within 14 days keep markets open. Resolution relies primarily on live video; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used.
Comparing the odds in this market to analyst forecasts and public polls reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. Currently, the market is reflecting a unique perspective on the likely topics discussed by the Figma CEO, potentially highlighting areas where analysts may be under or overestimating certain themes. While analysts provide individual assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, offering a different signal. It’s important to note that analyst predictions and market odds represent distinct forms of information, each with its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes of what the Figma CEO will say. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the event, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the Figma CEO’s public statements during the Goldman Sachs Communacopia conference. The exact wording of the CEO’s remarks will be assessed to determine which outcome aligns most closely with the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination based on publicly available information.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding the Figma CEO’s planned speaking points, pre-conference interviews, or broader company announcements could influence trading activity. Changes in investor sentiment towards Figma or the tech sector in general could also play a role. Unexpected developments within the competitive landscape or broader economic conditions might also shift expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely content of the CEO’s remarks has the potential to impact the odds in this market.