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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook?
kalshi

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook?

Volume:
$70,988

Monetary Policy

 - Kalshi

Monetary Policy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 9:50 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monetary Policy

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,474
N/A
N/A
$13,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Warsh

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,822
N/A
N/A
$4,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bond Market

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,535
N/A
N/A
$3,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Inflation

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,322
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stock Market

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,877
N/A
N/A
$2,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Balance Sheet

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,336
N/A
N/A
$1,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rate Hike / Hike Rate / Raise Rate

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,261
N/A
N/A
$1,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,122
N/A
N/A
$1,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Two Percent

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,005
N/A
N/A
$1,915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,959
N/A
N/A
$1,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Labor / Job

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,331
N/A
N/A
$1,322
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Productivity

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,208
N/A
N/A
$821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,361
N/A
N/A
$9,586
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,911
N/A
N/A
$7,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Stablecoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,732
N/A
N/A
$3,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Recession

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,314
N/A
N/A
$2,266
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,134
N/A
N/A
$1,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$285
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

During a scheduled interview, observers will monitor whether specific economic or financial terms are mentioned by a key speaker. The resolution depends solely on the verbatim inclusion of these terms within the official broadcast or transcript of the event.

Kalshi

The event involves multiple markets, each keyed to whether Christopher Waller utters a specific term during his Economic Outlook presentation at the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview. Each market resolves to Yes if the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, appears in the official broadcast or stream—verified first via live video and, if needed, through consensus-reviewed transcripts. Waller must speak in an official capacity for the statement to count; grammatical variations, off-camera remarks, or unaired content do not qualify. If the entire event is canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the “Event does not qualify” market resolves to Yes, nullifying others. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Resolution relies exclusively on the content of the original broadcast or release.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Fed Waller outlook market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for this prediction, alongside a live view of 24-hour volume at $47,860. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around what Fed Governor Waller may emphasize during his Economic Outlook speech, giving you a real-time barometer of market expectations.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of what Fed Waller might stress. While analysts may focus on long-term policy implications, traders in this market react to short-term cues and betting patterns, sometimes showing higher or lower confidence in specific phrases or policy hints than published forecasts.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on precise transcripts or authoritative summaries of Fed Governor Waller’s Economic Outlook speech, ensuring an objective assessment of what was actually said.