TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 19d:10h:18m
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The event centers around monitoring Eric Yuan's keynote speech at Zoomtopia 2026 for specific product or concept mentions. Outcomes depend on whether he utters any of the predefined terms during his official presentation, with resolution based on live broadcasts or official transcripts.
Multiple markets resolve based on whether Eric Yuan utters specific exact phrases during his official Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote. Resolution relies primarily on live broadcast video, with official transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees. Markets exclude inaudible private conversations, unofficial statements, previously aired content, or archival footage unrelated to the live keynote. If the event is definitively canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all others to No. If postponed within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. Each market requires the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) to be spoken by Yuan in an official capacity for a Yes resolution.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. While analysts may offer predictions based on research and industry knowledge, this market aggregates the views of a diverse group of individuals, potentially capturing a wider range of perspectives and anticipating unexpected developments. It’s possible that the market odds will align with analyst expectations, or they may diverge significantly, reflecting differing levels of confidence or access to information. Ultimately, this market provides a unique data point alongside traditional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity are determined by the number of participants and the volume of trading activity, influencing how efficiently prices reflect collective beliefs about the Zoomtopia 2026 keynote.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript or video recording of Eric Yuan’s Zoomtopia 2026 keynote address. The resolution will focus on whether specific phrases or topics were mentioned during the speech, as defined by the market’s conditions. The outcome will be based on publicly available information and will not rely on subjective interpretations or unverified sources.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any official announcements from Zoom regarding the Zoomtopia 2026 agenda or Eric Yuan’s speaking points would be a major catalyst. Unexpected news about Zoom’s performance, strategic direction, or competitive landscape could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, broader technological trends or shifts in the business environment could influence expectations about the topics Yuan will address. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the keynote address will be crucial for understanding movements in this market.