TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Eli Lilly say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Eli Lilly say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$67,000

Alzheimer

 - Kalshi

Alzheimer - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 12:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alzheimer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,481
N/A
N/A
$3,443
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Foundayo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,968
N/A
N/A
$4,032
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

China

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,406
N/A
N/A
$5,087
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

LillyDirect

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,559
N/A
N/A
$3,525
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Inluriyo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,126
N/A
N/A
$3,429
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,565
N/A
N/A
$4,006
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Walmart

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,993
N/A
N/A
$4,211
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,449
N/A
N/A
$2,336
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Headwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,345
N/A
N/A
$3,465
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Vial

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,958
N/A
N/A
$2,624
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,437
N/A
N/A
$2,597
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,048
N/A
N/A
$2,629
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Ventyx

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
$1,779
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Pennsylvania

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
$2,407
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Novo Nordisk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,996
N/A
N/A
$560
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned by Eli Lilly representatives during their August 7, 2026 earnings call, including the Q&A session. Resolution is based on video evidence first, with transcripts used as backup if needed, requiring exact word matches or their plural/possessive forms.

Kalshi

During Eli Lilly and Company's earnings call on August 7, 2026, resolution occurs if any company representative or call operator speaks any of the tracked terms: Vial, Walmart, Pennsylvania, LillyDirect, Tariff, Nvidia, AI/Artificial Intelligence, Inluriyo, Ventyx, China, Foundayo, Headwind, Tailwind, Novo Nordisk, or Alzheimer. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution determination prioritizes video evidence from the earnings call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video alone, official transcripts from major news publications will serve as the authoritative source. Partial matches, paraphrasing, or contextual references that do not include the exact word do not qualify for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Eli Lilly earnings call market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $44,375. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from Eli Lilly during their upcoming earnings call, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity without any cross-platform aggregation.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of expected announcements. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on models and historical data, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on current sentiment, recent news, and perceived market moves, which can sometimes lead to notable differences in expected outcomes.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact determination depends on the official earnings call transcript and any contemporaneous press releases, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with Kalshi's verification standards.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including pre-earnings leaks, analyst day updates, regulatory filings, and broader industry news affecting investor sentiment. Any public statement or media report from Eli Lilly leadership, as well as market reactions to competitor announcements, may also cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions and reshape the odds.