TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 9:48 AM EST
Kalshi
Disney executives will participate in an earnings call on August 5, 2026, discussing the company's financial performance and business operations. This event tracks whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during the call, including both the prepared remarks and question-and-answer session.
Each market resolves to Yes if Disney representatives mention the specified term during the August 5, 2026 earnings call, including Q&A. The exact phrase or word must be used, along with plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are otherwise excluded. Resolution relies primarily on video of the earnings call; if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees, official transcripts from recognized news publications will be used as the secondary source. Terms tracked include business metrics (attendance, box office, churn, international visitation), financial actions (buyback/share repurchase), strategic initiatives (digital centerpiece, streamlining), technology topics (AI/artificial intelligence, vertical video), specific properties and projects (Epic Universe, Fortnite, Grogu/Baby Yoda, Moana, Toy Story 5), media assets (NFL Network/RedZone), geographic references (Abu Dhabi), and other notable topics (Trump). Resolution requires that the exact terminology be spoken; partial matches or paraphrasing do not qualify.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a broader set of expectations and can react faster to new information. While analysts provide detailed reports and ratings, this market aggregates trader sentiment in real time, potentially highlighting different risks or opportunities that aren’t fully captured in consensus estimates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about which statements Disney is most likely to make, with price fluctuations driven by new earnings data, market trends, and broader economic signals.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, Disney’s actual earnings call transcript will be reviewed to determine which statements align with the market’s defined outcomes, closing the market based on what was officially communicated during the call.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-earnings analyst updates, media speculation about Disney’s strategy, macroeconomic indicators affecting entertainment stocks, and any unscheduled corporate announcements. Traders will also watch competitor actions and broader market sentiment, all of which can influence expectations about the tone and content of Disney’s upcoming earnings call.