TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
Darline Graham is scheduled to appear on Fox News: Hannity, a cable news program. These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during her on-air remarks delivered in an official capacity.
Resolution is based on Darline Graham speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast or stream of Fox News: Hannity. Inaudible private conversations, unofficial statements, or remarks made off-camera do not qualify. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts; previously aired content, archival footage, recordings from separate events, and advertisements are excluded. Promotional content aired during the event is included. Resolution uses video as the primary source; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video, official transcripts (internal or external) are used. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, all markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets incorporate live information and collective intelligence. While analysts may rely on historical patterns or prepared talking points, this market aggregates the views of many participants actively betting on specific quotes or statements. The continuous price discovery in prediction markets can sometimes signal shifts in sentiment faster than published analyst commentary, though both approaches offer valuable perspectives on what might transpire during the broadcast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different possible statements. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is assigned a probability-based price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the collective belief of market participants. As new information emerges or trading activity intensifies, prices adjust in real time, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at market rates or place limit orders at their preferred levels.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, after the Fox News: Hannity broadcast concludes. The outcome is determined by verifying what Darline Graham actually says during the episode against credible public sources, including video recordings and official transcripts. Once the broadcast airs and statements can be confirmed, the market settles based on which outcome matches the verified record, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Aug 4, 2026. Breaking news or developments related to Darline Graham's public positions may prompt traders to adjust their expectations. Promotional clips or pre-broadcast statements from Fox News could hint at topics she plans to address. Social media activity, recent interviews, or shifts in the political landscape might also influence trader sentiment. As the broadcast date draws closer, increased media attention and final trading activity typically drive price movements reflecting updated consensus on what will be said.