TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
polymarket

What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?

Volume:
$385,640

$63-$70

 - Polymarket

$63-$70 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$63-$70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>$84

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$70-$77

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$77-$84

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$56-$63

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$42

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$49-$56

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$42-$49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks where crude oil futures will settle during June 2026, based on the active-month contract's closing price on the final trading day of the month. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—crude oil settling above $84 per barrel—stands at 61.5%, while the $77–$84 range carries 20.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official CME settlement price published on their energy futures page. Watch the final trading day of June 2026 for the active-month contract close, which will trigger immediate settlement.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the crude oil settlement price event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, live price movements, and historical odds trends leading up to Jun 30, 2026. You can monitor $385,640 in total event volume and $38,073 in 24-hour trading activity to gauge market liquidity and trader interest. The dashboard updates continuously, allowing you to see how market sentiment shifts as new information about oil supply, demand, and geopolitical factors emerges.

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, when the June crude oil contract closes. The outcome is determined by the official settlement price of the CL futures contract at that time. Traders who correctly predicted the settlement range win their positions, while incorrect predictions result in losses. The resolution is final and based on exchange-reported data, ensuring all traders reference the same authoritative price. Until that date, odds will fluctuate based on market expectations, economic data releases, and energy sector developments.

Crude oil prices are sensitive to OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, US inventory reports, and global economic growth expectations. Stronger-than-expected economic data typically lifts oil demand and prices, while recession fears push them lower. Energy policy announcements, refinery outages, and weather events affecting supply chains also drive volatility. Currency movements, particularly US dollar strength, influence oil pricing since crude trades in dollars. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory data, Fed policy signals, and international conflict developments closely, as any surprise in these areas can shift market odds significantly before Jun 30, 2026.