TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$39,780

Dividend

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 23, 11:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dividend

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,305
N/A
N/A
$4,184
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Dividend

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maple Street

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,127
N/A
N/A
$2,247
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Maple Street

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
36¢
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reward

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,539
N/A
N/A
$2,355
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Reward

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,305
N/A
N/A
$2,112
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Tariff

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,618
N/A
N/A
$1,497
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Headwind

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Quarter 15+ times

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.9¢
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Campfire

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,556
N/A
N/A
$6,841
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Campfire

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Road Trip

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,843
N/A
N/A
$3,170
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Road Trip

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
$2,277
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,754
N/A
N/A
$2,443
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Tailwind

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cracker Barrel 400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,404
N/A
N/A
$1,177
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Customer 10+ times

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

GLP-1 / GLP1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Peptide

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This group forecasts whether specific words or phrases will be uttered by Cracker Barrel representatives during their earnings calls. The markets cover a range of terms, from financial keywords like 'Dividend' and 'Tariff' to branding-related terms like 'Road Trip' and 'Maple Street', and even emerging topics like 'AI'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets require a specific count of a term, while Kalshi markets resolve on any mention.Hero tip: Kalshi markets are generally easier to predict as only a single mention is needed. Polymarket markets require a higher frequency of the term, increasing the difficulty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if a term is mentioned a specified number of times (e.g., 15+ for 'Quarter', 10+ for 'Customer') during the earnings call. 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if a term is mentioned *at all* by any Cracker Barrel representative during the earnings call (including Q&A). 'If Tailwind is said by any Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. representative... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Cracker Barrel currently scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Kalshi

The event determines if any of several specified phrases are uttered by Cracker Barrel representatives during their next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Resolution relies first on video footage of the call; if video consensus cannot be achieved by Kalshi employees, published transcripts from news outlets listed in the contract will be used. Payout hinges on the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form being spoken, with grammatical or tense variations excluded from qualification. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with Cracker Barrel, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may be influenced by biases or incentives, while prediction markets aggregate diverse perspectives from individuals with skin in the game. This market's pricing incorporates real-time information and evolving sentiment, potentially offering a more accurate signal than static analyst reports. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are not foolproof and can be subject to their own forms of bias or manipulation, especially with lower volume.