TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Carvana say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Carvana say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$252,172

Market Share

 - Kalshi

Market Share - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 9:32 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Market Share

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$109,218
N/A
N/A
$72,563
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Acquired / Acquisition

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$81,463
N/A
N/A
$62,300
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,453
N/A
N/A
$3,655
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,090
N/A
N/A
$2,027
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Sebastian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,540
N/A
N/A
$1,424
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Insurance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,850
N/A
N/A
$3,488
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Ally

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,498
N/A
N/A
$8,265
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Auction

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,275
N/A
N/A
$5,828
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Title / Registration

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,077
N/A
N/A
$2,355
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Automation

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,642
N/A
N/A
$2,692
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Iran / Middle East

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,125
N/A
N/A
$2,090
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

DriveTime

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,880
N/A
N/A
$1,348
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Same Day

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,089
N/A
N/A
$2,128
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Bridgecrest

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,969
N/A
N/A
$892
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned by Carvana representatives during their earnings call scheduled for July 29, 2026. The terms span operational topics (automation, same-day delivery), business developments (acquisition, market share), regulatory concerns (tariffs, title/registration), and company-specific references (DriveTime, Bridgecrest, Sebastian).

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding term or phrase is spoken by any Carvana Co. representative—including call operators—during the company's next earnings call and Q&A session. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense variations are not required. Resolution will be determined primarily through video of the earnings call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video, official transcripts from major news publications will be consulted as the secondary source. The tracked terms include operational and strategic concepts (Ally, Automation, Same Day, AI/Artificial Intelligence, Market Share, Title/Registration), business developments (Auction, Acquired/Acquisition, Insurance), specific acquisitions or subsidiaries (DriveTime, Bridgecrest), geopolitical factors (Tariff, Iran/Middle East), and individual names (Sebastian).

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard displays the current odds and price history for the Carvana earnings statement market, along with a 24-hour volume of $210,985. It provides a real-time view of trader sentiment and market dynamics as participants speculate on what Carvana will say during their next earnings call.

On Kalshi, the odds in this market reflect aggregate trader expectations about Carvana's upcoming earnings statement. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which are based on financial models and historical performance. Traders may price in different risks or scenarios, leading to variations between market odds and analyst predictions.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Carvana’s next earnings call has concluded and the transcript or official recording is publicly available. The statement made during that call will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome.