TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?
kalshi
polymarket

What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$61,764

Alloy Kore

 - Kalshi

Alloy Kore - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 11:08 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alloy Kore

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,173
N/A
N/A
$13,549
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

QNX

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,814
N/A
N/A
$4,410
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Quarter 15+ times

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Autonomous

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,279
N/A
N/A
$1,112
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Autonomous

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
50¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Physical AI

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$1,110
6mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Nvidia

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
$829
6mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Nvidia

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Revenue

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Record Revenue

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,231
N/A
N/A
$1,331
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Customer 10+ times

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,225
N/A
N/A
$4,846
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Tailwind

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hailo

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,040
N/A
N/A
$3,575
6mo 2d
No
kalshi

Digital Sovereignty

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,410
N/A
N/A
$3,115
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Digital Sovereignty

0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quantum

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,257
N/A
N/A
$3,150
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Quantum

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
$2,899
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Headwind

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,329
N/A
N/A
$2,239
6mo 2d
No
polymarket

Headwind

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$1,279
6mo 2d
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This group forecasts whether specific keywords will be mentioned during BlackBerry's next earnings call. The markets aim to predict what topics BlackBerry management will address during the call, and potentially the emphasis they place on those topics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets specify a minimum count of mentions for certain keywords, while Kalshi markets resolve on any mention of a keyword. Polymarket also includes a market for the event being cancelled, which Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Focus on the probability of a keyword being mentioned *at all* when trading Kalshi markets, and the probability of it being mentioned a specific number of times when trading Polymarket markets. Pay attention to the cancellation market on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on whether a term is mentioned a specific number of times (e.g., 15+ times for 'Quarter'). Includes a market for the event being cancelled. Resolution source is audio of the event. "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement...If this event is definitely cancelled..."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to Yes if a term is mentioned by *any* BlackBerry representative during the earnings call, including Q&A. "If Quantum is said by any BlackBerry Limited representative...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of BlackBerry currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether specific exact phrases are uttered by any BlackBerry Limited representative during the next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase; if that phrase (or its plural/possessive form) is spoken, the respective market resolves to Yes. Payout determination is based on video recordings of the call, with transcripts from designated news publications used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Grammatical or tense variations of the phrases do not qualify for payout. The operator of the call and all representatives are included in the evaluation, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with BlackBerry Limited.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the BlackBerry earnings call market dashboard tracks the probability of various statements being made during BlackBerry’s next earnings call. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a high probability for certain keywords being mentioned, with a combined volume of $61,764. This reflects the collective predictions of traders actively participating in the BlackBerry earnings call market. The 24-hour volume is currently $38,595, showing strong recent interest in this event. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically offer point estimates or ranges, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing probabilities for different outcomes. This can lead to a more nuanced and potentially more accurate view of what BlackBerry might discuss during their earnings call. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and biases; analysts may be influenced by company relationships, while market traders are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive understanding.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any pre-earnings announcements from BlackBerry regarding key topics, such as revenue, cybersecurity, or new product launches, could shift probabilities. Analyst reports offering strong opinions on the likely content of the earnings call could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news events affecting the technology sector or BlackBerry’s competitors could also play a role. Increased trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi would also be a signal to watch, indicating heightened market attention.