TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:10 AM EST
Kalshi
During a television interview, Bernie Sanders may discuss various topics ranging from domestic policy to international relations. The specific words or phrases he uses during the broadcast will determine the outcomes of several predictive markets.
The event involves multiple markets that resolve based on whether Bernie Sanders utters specific phrases during an official 'Meet the Press' interview. Each market has a primary rule checking for the exact use of designated terms—like 'AI,' 'Corrupt,' or 'Healthcare'—either singularly or in specified forms (e.g., plural, possessive). Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast or stream; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts are used. Only content within the original broadcast counts—promotional material is included, but advertisements and externally sourced recordings are excluded. Markets also include a contingency where if the event is canceled, postponed beyond terms, or Sanders does not speak officially (e.g., private on-camera remarks), the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, nullifying others. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect the collective judgment of Kalshi traders, who may weigh factors beyond traditional polling — such as recent media coverage or campaign momentum. While analysts often focus on historical trends, this market can react instantly to new developments, potentially showing wider or narrower chances for specific phrases or topics depending on real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on exact transcripts or authoritative news coverage of the appearance, ensuring an objective match to the market’s defined outcomes.