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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
🌟New
kalshi

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?

Oct 13, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - Nov 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$806
Volume 24h:
$437N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$797
47%

Elon / Musk

 - Kalshi

Elon / Musk - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 17d:10h:18m

What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026?

90%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 88¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 90% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% High Projected APY: 1,454% 17 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Elon / Musk

Trade
90%
Yes 88¢No 18¢
6¢
N/A
$135
52%
N/A
$135
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Tax Break

Trade
90%
Yes 85¢No 33¢
18¢
N/A
$20
0%
N/A
$20
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Working Class

Trade
88%
Yes 73¢No 43¢
16¢
N/A
$15
0%
N/A
$15
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Trade
87%
2%
Yes 87¢No 26¢
13¢
N/A
$72
140%
N/A
$72
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Billionaire (5+ times)

Trade
85%
2%
Yes 79¢No 27¢
6¢
N/A
$92
163%
N/A
$92
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

Trade
65%
Yes 60¢No 49¢
9¢
N/A
$75
0%
N/A
$75
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Social Security

Trade
56%
2%
Yes 55¢No 58¢
13¢
N/A
$65
18%
N/A
$64
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

Trade
54%
6%
Yes 50¢No 56¢
6¢
N/A
$33
120%
N/A
$33
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Zillion / Zillionaire

Trade
52%
30%
Yes 42¢No 64¢
6¢
N/A
$59
181%
N/A
$59
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

Trade
44%
Yes 43¢No 67¢
10¢
N/A
$87
0%
N/A
$87
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Midterm

Trade
42%
2%
Yes 50¢No 53¢
3¢
N/A
$45
808%
N/A
$37
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Data Center

Trade
28%
11%
Yes 30¢No 80¢
10¢
N/A
$16
220%
N/A
$16
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Trillionaire

Trade
27%
Yes 23¢No 79¢
2¢
N/A
$12
0%
N/A
$12
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Immigrant / Immigration

Trade
26%
Yes 34¢No 77¢
11¢
N/A
$28
0%
N/A
$28
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

ChatGPT / OpenAI

Trade
8%
Yes 16¢No 93¢
9¢
N/A
$17
0%
N/A
$17
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Event does not qualify

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Israel / Netanyahu

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Robot / Robotic / Robotics

Trade
N/A
N/A
14¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Housing / Rent

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

DeSantis

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Climate

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
kalshi

Bernie

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 10h
active
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks whether Bernie Sanders will mention specific topics or phrases during a scheduled rally. The rally focuses on addressing systemic issues and advocating for policy changes, with markets centered around the inclusion of particular keywords in his speech.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Bernie Sanders utters any of 26 specified phrases or terms during his "Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here" rally in Gainesville scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase (e.g., "Billionaire," "Elon / Musk," "Working Class"), and resolution depends on whether Sanders includes the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—during the official rally. Verification uses live video broadcasts or official transcripts, with markets resolving to Yes if the phrase is spoken and No otherwise. A separate market resolves to Yes if none of the qualifying phrases are spoken. Cancellations or failures to meet payout criteria trigger the "Event does not qualify" market to Yes, nullifying others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bernie rally speech market tracks the implied probability of various statements being made by Senator Sanders during his Gainesville rally. You'll find real-time odds reflecting what traders believe he will say, along with a price history showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The current 24-hour trading volume, which is $437, indicates the level of recent activity in this market. Total volume to date is $806, offering insight into overall interest in predicting the rally’s content.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts regarding the content of Senator Sanders’ speech. While polls and expert opinions attempt to anticipate his messaging, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a continuously updated assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies – analysts rely on past statements and campaign strategies, whereas this market reflects real-time speculation and information. It’s important to note that the market’s predictive power is evaluated after the event, allowing for a retrospective comparison to expert predictions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a specific statement will be made. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings can signal changing expectations about the rally's content. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of those trading on Kalshi.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be determined by a review of credible public sources, including transcripts and recordings of Senator Sanders’ speech in Gainesville. Verification will focus on whether the statements outlined in the market’s possible outcomes were demonstrably made during the rally. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any official statements released by Senator Sanders or his campaign regarding the themes of the Gainesville rally would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected news events related to the issues he typically addresses—such as economic data releases or policy announcements—could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, media coverage and public reactions to pre-rally interviews or social media posts could all contribute to price movements in this market, reflecting evolving expectations about the speech’s content.