TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases mentioned by Bernie Sanders during a campaign rally, focusing on topics relevant to his policy positions and public messaging. Each market centers on whether he includes certain key terms in his official address, reflecting themes he might emphasize during the event.
The event evaluates whether Bernie Sanders utters specific exact phrases during his officially broadcast Power to the People: GOTV Rally address. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcasts or official transcripts, with exact matches—including plural or possessive forms—required for a 'Yes' outcome. Grammatical variations, inaudible private remarks, or content from unrelated recordings do not count. If the rally is canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others to 'No.' Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Consensus among Kalshi employees resolves any ambiguities in verification.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking perspective. Analysts may rely on historical data and public statements, while traders in this market incorporate a broader range of signals, including media coverage, crowd sentiment, and emerging narratives. As a result, the odds here can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially when new information emerges that analysts have not yet incorporated into their models.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether the specific statement in question is made during the rally, as documented by reliable news outlets and official recordings. Traders should monitor major news sources for real-time updates as the rally approaches.