TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Bernie Sanders mentions specific keywords during a live interview on a news program. Each keyword triggers a separate resolution, focusing on precise verbal acknowledgment during the broadcast.
The event resolves based on whether Bernie Sanders, while speaking in an official capacity during the MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes broadcast, utters any of the specified keywords. Each market corresponds to a unique keyword or phrase. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast or stream, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. The exact word, phrase, or their plural/possessive forms must be used; grammatical variations do not count. Only content included in the original broadcast qualifies—ads, promotional segments, and externally sourced material are excluded. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or Sanders does not speak officially (e.g., private off-mic comments), all markets resolve 'No,' and the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves 'Yes.' Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from some analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize policy positions or historical trends, the odds here capture a broader range of possible statements and tones from the discussion. Monitoring shifts in this market can highlight emerging views that aren’t yet reflected in traditional polling or commentary.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds based on their expectations of what will occur during the conversation. The current pricing reflects a balance of bets for each possible outcome, with volume of $134,595 showing overall interest. Price movements respond quickly to new information or sentiment shifts among participants.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the discussion concludes, analysts and reviewers will assess the content against the defined outcome categories to determine the final result.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Direct quotes or notable themes from Bernie Sanders during the interview may cause rapid adjustments. Media coverage and post-show analysis from key political commentators often influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments, such as interruptions or breaking news during the broadcast, can also create volatility. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi may reflect emerging sentiment shifts ahead of the live event.