TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
What will be the top AI model this month?
kalshi

What will be the top AI model this month?

Volume:
$558,401

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100,472
N/A
N/A
$41,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,856
N/A
N/A
$203,203
Settled
No
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,489
N/A
N/A
$68,655
Settled
No
kalshi

dola-seed-2.0-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,914
N/A
N/A
$22,914
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,747
N/A
N/A
$22,747
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.20-beta1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,428
N/A
N/A
$21,428
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-flash

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,190
N/A
N/A
$19,190
Settled
No
kalshi

kimi-k2.5-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,692
N/A
N/A
$14,692
Settled
No
kalshi

ernie-5.0-0110

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,036
N/A
N/A
$13,036
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,577
N/A
N/A
$7,577
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which AI model will achieve the top ranking on a major AI leaderboard as of March 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on identifying the single highest-ranked artificial intelligence model according to the benchmark rankings at that specific date and time.