TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast released after October 7, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast released after October 7, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls capture stated opinions, this market represents what people are willing to *put their money on*. This difference can be significant, particularly in situations where respondents may be hesitant to express controversial views or lack strong convictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and polling averages, as traders weigh information and incentives differently than poll respondents. This market offers a unique signal based on incentivized forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements can be influenced by breaking news or shifts in public sentiment regarding the Lemonade Stand Podcast.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the content of the Lemonade Stand Podcast episode released on October 14th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the podcast transcript or recording to determine which topics were actually discussed. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome(s) that occurred, and 0% for those that did not. The specific details of what constitutes a 'discussion' will be determined by Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any announcements from the Lemonade Stand Podcast hosts regarding the episode's planned topics would be a major catalyst. Unexpected news events related to potential discussion points, such as political developments, could also shift the odds. Increased social media buzz or speculation about the episode’s content could also drive trading activity. Finally, any insights from individuals with close ties to the podcast could influence traders’ beliefs and move this market before the episode is released.