TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated preferences at a single moment, while this market aggregates real-money bets from traders with skin in the game. Market odds often diverge from polls because traders incorporate private information, recent news, and dynamic reasoning about what will actually happen. For podcast content predictions, market prices reflect traders' assessments of the hosts' likely discussion topics and statements, updated continuously as new information emerges. This forward-looking mechanism can make prediction markets more responsive than traditional surveys to shifting probabilities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a tradable share, and the price you see reflects the probability implied by recent trades. When more traders buy a particular prediction about the podcast episode, its price rises; when they sell, it falls. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays liquid and responsive to new information right up until the resolution deadline.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, after the June 17 episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast has aired. The outcome is confirmed once the episode content is verifiable from credible public sources, such as official podcast recordings or transcripts. Traders who correctly predicted what would be said on the show receive payouts proportional to their position size, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the episode becoming publicly available.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jun 18, 2026. Recent statements or social media posts from the podcast hosts may hint at planned topics, causing traders to adjust their positions. Breaking news in politics could influence which issues the hosts are likely to discuss. Guest announcements or episode previews released by the podcast team would provide concrete signals about content direction. As the episode air date approaches, any official hints or listener speculation could trigger repricing. Finally, historical patterns from previous episodes may inform trader expectations about typical discussion themes.