TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between June 1, 2026 and June 7, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan).
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, each potential mention or statement is priced as a separate outcome contract, with the implied probability reflected in the current bid-ask spread. Traders buy shares in outcomes they believe will occur, driving prices higher, or sell to reduce exposure. The price of each outcome represents the market's collective estimate of the likelihood that specific words, topics, or references will be mentioned during the episode. As the episode air date nears and new guest announcements or promotional clips surface, prices adjust to reflect updated information and trader positioning.
The market resolves after Jun 8, 2026, following the broadcast and publication of the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week beginning June 1. Resolution is determined by whether the specific statements, mentions, or topics defined in each outcome actually occur during the episode. Verification typically relies on episode transcripts, video clips, or community reporting to confirm which outcomes were accurate. The resolution window allows time for the episode to air, be reviewed, and for any disputes or clarifications to be addressed before final settlement.
Several catalysts could shift market prices before the episode airs. Announcement of the guest identity or episode topic would provide concrete information about likely discussion areas. Promotional clips, guest social media activity, or recent news involving the guest could raise or lower probabilities of specific mentions. Joe Rogan's recent episode themes or the guest's known interests and controversies influence trader expectations. As the episode air date approaches, any leaked information or preview content would trigger repricing. Finally, the actual episode broadcast and initial viewer reactions will drive final price movements before market resolution.