TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between July 13, 2026 and July 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between July 13, 2026 and July 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction markets like this one differ fundamentally from polls. While traditional polls ask respondents hypothetical questions, this market aggregates real money bets from traders who profit only if their prediction proves correct. That financial incentive typically makes prediction markets more accurate than opinion surveys. For niche events like episode content analysis, prediction markets often outperform polls because traders conduct deeper research and adjust positions continuously as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week airs and can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting mentions of the specified word in the episode transcript or recording, confirmed against credible public sources. Traders will know the result shortly after the episode is published and analyzed, at which point the market settles and winnings are distributed to those who predicted correctly.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Announcements about the episode's guest or topic might hint at conversation direction—certain guests or subjects naturally involve more frequent use of particular words. Social media speculation or leaked episode details could influence trader sentiment. Additionally, Joe Rogan's recent episodes and typical word-frequency patterns serve as reference points; traders monitoring his speech habits may adjust positions based on historical data. Finally, any last-minute scheduling changes or episode cancellations would directly impact market pricing.