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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 31)
polymarket
predict

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 31)

Volume:
$14,736

Right

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Right

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$1,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Right

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tesla

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Tesla

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

People 200+ times

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

People 200+ times

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trump 10+ times

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
49.8¢
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Trump 10+ times

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fuck / Fucking 10+ times

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Fuck / Fucking 10+ times

View
N/A
N/A
96¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

People 100+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
97.9¢
N/A
$819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

People 100+ times

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Left

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Left

View
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dude 20+ times

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Dude 20+ times

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Predict 5+ times

View
26%
24%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
49¢
$201
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Alien

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alien

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

SpaceX

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceX

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Red

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
33¢
N/A
$1,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Red

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Blue

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Blue

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This event group tracks whether specific phrases will be uttered during the first Joe Rogan Experience episode released in the week of August 31, 2026. Markets resolve based on transcript analysis of the designated episode within a defined timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic: transcript analysis of the first JRE episode released between August 31 and September 6, 2026, with explicit exclusion of JRE MMA Show episodes and a clear '-No Qualifying Event-' fallback rule.Primary resolution logic: Official YouTube transcript of the first Joe Rogan Experience episode released between August 31 and September 6, 2026 at https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve all markets by counting exact term occurrences in the official YouTube transcript of the first JRE episode released between August 31 and September 6, 2026
  • JRE MMA Show episodes are explicitly excluded from consideration
  • If no JRE episode is released by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, '-No Qualifying Event-' resolves 'Yes' and all other markets resolve 'No'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Partial Matches: Compound terms like 'Fuck' or 'Fucking' count as one occurrence when either word appears. Phrases like 'People' in song titles or quoted speech count toward the total.
  • Timestamp Cutoff: Only content from the first episode released during the qualifying window counts — later episodes in the same week are irrelevant even if released before September 6.
Timing: All markets resolve after September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, based on transcript analysis of the qualifying episode (or lack thereof)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between August 31, 2026 and September 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Predict

The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between August 31, 2026 and September 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://market-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Joe Rogan first episode market aggregates betting data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume. It displays how traders across platforms price the likelihood of specific phrases appearing in the first episode of the week, with total volume at $14,736 and 24-hour volume at $8,142. This offers a consensus view of market expectations and lets users compare odds instantly.

Unlike traditional polling, prediction market odds reflect aggregated bets rather than voter surveys, often reacting faster to new information. For this market, odds may diverge from any public polling on viewer expectations because they incorporate real-money incentives and continuous adjustment. The current implied probability from trading activity shows where bets are placed, which can differ from averaged polls due to different participant dynamics and update speeds.

News about guest announcements, topic previews, or any indication of planned discussion points could shift this market. Analyst commentary, media speculation, and even early clip releases may also influence trader sentiment. As the episode date approaches, any signal hinting at the likelihood of certain phrases being used can cause rapid price adjustments on both platforms.