TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
Bank of America will hold an earnings call on July 14, 2026, where executives and operators will discuss the company's financial performance and answer analyst questions. This event tracks whether specific predetermined terms or phrases are mentioned by any Bank of America representative during the call.
During Bank of America Corporation's earnings call on July 14, 2026, resolution is determined by whether any company representative or call operator speaks any of the following terms: Recession, Trump/President, Buyback, Tariff, M&A/Merger, Inflation, CashPro, Pipeline, Delinquency, Rate Cut/Cut Rate, Basel 3, Oil, Iran, Merrill, World Cup, or Hike. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution will be determined primarily through video of the earnings call; if video consensus cannot be reached by Kalshi employees, official transcripts from recognized news publications will be used as the secondary source. The mention must occur during either the prepared remarks or the question-and-answer portion of the call.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is quoted as a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the implied probability that traders assign to it. Shares are fungible and can be held until resolution or exited at any time. The bid-ask spread tightens or widens based on order flow and liquidity; deeper liquidity typically narrows spreads and reduces slippage for traders entering or exiting positions.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, after Bank of America's next earnings call has concluded. The outcome is determined by verifying statements and announcements made during the call against credible public sources, including official transcripts, press releases, and reputable financial news coverage. Once the call is complete and the relevant information is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the specified statements or topics were addressed as predicted by the winning outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Unexpected economic data, regulatory announcements, or changes in Bank of America's business environment may alter trader expectations about what management will emphasize on the call. Competitor earnings calls or broader financial sector news can also influence sentiment. As the earnings date approaches, leaked guidance, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and shifts in market volatility may prompt repricing. Finally, any public statements or commentary from Bank of America leadership before the call could move this market as traders adjust their forecasts.