TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$68,270

Quantum

 - Kalshi

Quantum - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 6:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Quantum

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,589
N/A
N/A
$15,314
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

DOCSIS 4.0 / DOCSIS 4

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,096
N/A
N/A
$7,104
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,610
N/A
N/A
$3,250
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Mediacom

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,434
N/A
N/A
$3,263
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Refund

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,249
N/A
N/A
$3,817
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Indium Phosphide

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,391
N/A
N/A
$2,436
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

CPO / Co-Packaged Optics

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,229
N/A
N/A
$2,457
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Pearland

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,030
N/A
N/A
$2,119
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Qualification

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,780
N/A
N/A
$2,261
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,693
N/A
N/A
$1,599
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

FCC / Federal Communications Commission

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,892
N/A
N/A
$3,096
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Firmware

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,848
N/A
N/A
$1,482
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Innolight

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$293
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 13

Description

During a company's earnings call, representatives discuss financial performance and strategic directions. Investors and analysts often ask questions that touch on various operational and market-related topics, influencing how the company addresses current and future challenges.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether specific predefined terms are mentioned by any Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. representative during their next earnings call scheduled for August 6, 2026, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that exact term (or its plural/possessive form) is uttered. Video recordings of the call serve as the primary evidence for resolution; if consensus cannot be reached from the video, official transcripts from designated news publications will be used. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified phrasing. All markets share these uniform verification procedures, ensuring consistent application across each term's evaluation.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of market expectations. While analysts provide detailed reports based on research models, traders in this market incorporate a broader range of information, including recent company performance, industry trends, and sentiment. This can lead to differences in projected probabilities, especially when market conditions shift quickly. Monitoring both sources helps provide a fuller picture of expectations surrounding the upcoming earnings call.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the earnings call, statements made by company executives are compared against the market’s defined outcomes. The result is finalized when official transcripts or reputable news sources confirm what was actually said during the call, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it resolves. Key earnings previews, analyst commentary, industry news, and any pre-call leaks or rumors may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader market trends affecting the company’s sector, regulatory updates, or unexpected operational announcements can cause rapid price movements. Traders will closely watch any public statements or media coverage in the days leading up to the call, as these often hint at tone and focus areas.