TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez might mention during a public address at a designated march. It focuses on her official speech content rather than informal or background remarks, using live broadcasts and transcripts for verification.
The event evaluates whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez utters any of several predefined phrases during her official remarks at the specified march. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of related terms (e.g., "Trump," "Climate," "Healthcare"). A market resolves to Yes only if the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, is spoken by AOC in an official capacity during the live event. Verification uses the event's live broadcast or, if needed, official transcripts. Grammatical variations, inaudible private conversations, and content from unrelated recordings do not count. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Consensus among Kalshi employees ensures fair resolution.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the March on Washington, statements and transcripts will be reviewed to match the market’s defined outcome categories. Traders should watch for official releases and reputable news coverage to anticipate the resolution.
Key signals that could shift this market include early speech previews, media interviews, and statements from the speaker’s team. Any indication of theme changes, policy emphasis, or unexpected topics introduced before the event may cause rapid price adjustments. Additionally, broader political developments and public reactions leading up to the March on Washington can influence trader sentiment and volume.