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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
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kalshi

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?

Oct 14, 2026, 11:45 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$203
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$203
0%

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

 - Kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 20d:10h:18m

What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)?

69%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 75¢ buys you 133 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $133 | Net Profit: $33 Multiplier: 1.33x | ROI: 33% APY not meaningful 20 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Trade
69%
Yes 75¢No 34¢
9¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Benefit / Welfare

40%
Yes 45¢No 68¢
13¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$68
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Reform

19%
Yes 40¢No 69¢
9¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

NATO

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Energy

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Tax

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Russia / Russian

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

EU / European Union

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Immigrant / Immigration

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

N/A
N/A
72¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

NHS / Healthcare

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Brexit

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Trump

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

China / Chinese

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

King

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
kalshi

Event does not qualify

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d 10h
active
Total markets: 18

Description

During the upcoming Prime Minister's Questions session, observers will monitor whether Andy Burnham mentions specific topics such as international relations, domestic policies, or economic issues. The focus is on tracking particular keywords or phrases he uses while addressing the Prime Minister in this formal parliamentary setting.

Kalshi

The event centers on whether Andy Burnham utters any of several specified terms or phrases during his participation in the next official UK House of Commons Prime Minister's Questions session after October 14, 2026, at 11:45 AM. Each market corresponds to a distinct term or phrase (e.g., “Ukraine,” “Benefit,” “NATO,” etc.), and a market resolves to "Yes" if Burnham says that term or any of its acceptable variants (including plural or possessive forms) in an official capacity during the session. Resolution relies primarily on the live broadcast video; if employees cannot reach consensus based on video, official internal and external transcripts are used. Certain content—such as grammatical variations, off-mic remarks, archival footage, or non-broadcast material—does not count. If none of the qualifying terms are spoken by Burnham, the market labeled "Event does not qualify" resolves to "Yes."

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Prime Minister's Questions market tracks the current odds for various statements Andy Burnham might make during Prime Minister's Questions. You'll find a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time, giving insight into trader sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $203, and the total volume traded to date, which is $203. This provides a clear picture of market activity and how much traders are wagering on different outcomes.

Comparing the odds in this market to those offered by political analysts reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals, expressed through real-money wagers. If analysts widely expect Burnham to focus on a specific topic, we might see shorter odds for related statements in this market. However, discrepancies can emerge if traders anticipate unexpected lines of questioning or believe analysts are overlooking key factors. It's a fascinating way to gauge diverse perspectives on the upcoming session.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, following the conclusion of Prime Minister's Questions. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the session, verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the statement(s) made by Andy Burnham during the session, and 0 for those not made. The exact wording of statements will be the determining factor, so close attention to the official record is essential for accurate resolution of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any public statements made by Andy Burnham leading up to Prime Minister's Questions, such as interviews or press conferences, could offer clues about his intended focus. Major political events or breaking news stories could also shift the conversation and influence his questioning strategy. Unexpected developments in government policy or public opinion could prompt him to address specific issues. Even social media activity or commentary from political analysts could contribute to price movements in this market.