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2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,592,701,755

469,827

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35,657

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What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

Sep 8, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Mar 31, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$49,162
Volume 24h:
$690
72%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$35,509
1%

Trainium

 - Kalshi

Trainium - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 31, 2027

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

96%chance
Amount

$

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 9% 167 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trainium

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 11¢
7¢
N/A
$5,062
0%
0%
$3,430
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Tariff

95%
Yes 99¢No 6¢
5¢
N/A
$3,038
0.3%
11%
$1,892
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Bedrock

95%
Yes 99¢No 4¢
3¢
N/A
$991
0.42%
27%
$894
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Prime Day

94%
Yes 94¢No 8¢
2¢
N/A
$2,200
0%
8%
$1,994
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Alexa+ / Alexa Plus

93%
Yes 93¢No 15¢
8¢
N/A
$4,325
0%
5%
$2,845
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Robotic / Robotics

88%
Yes 87¢No 17¢
4¢
N/A
$5,028
0%
1%
$3,572
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Graviton

88%
Yes 90¢No 12¢
2¢
N/A
$4,384
6%
9%
$2,974
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Anthropic / Claude

87%
Yes 92¢No 14¢
6¢
N/A
$5,714
0%
0.05%
$4,462
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

OpenAI

86%
Yes 86¢No 23¢
9¢
N/A
$1,443
0%
0.56%
$1,393
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Live Sports

85%
Yes 85¢No 20¢
5¢
N/A
$4,210
0%
1%
$2,526
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Gen AI / Generative AI

85%
Yes 85¢No 19¢
4¢
N/A
$6,016
0%
4%
$4,992
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

NVIDIA

82%
Yes 82¢No 27¢
9¢
N/A
$1,656
0%
0.36%
$1,344
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Supply Chain

75%
Yes 79¢No 30¢
9¢
N/A
$87
0%
2,128%
$87
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Continuum

69%
Yes 70¢No 39¢
9¢
N/A
$35
0%
35%
$10
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Sponsored Products

66%
8%
Yes 72¢No 35¢
7¢
N/A
$1,475
20%
12,174%
$1,069
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Third Party Seller

57%
1%
Yes 57¢No 49¢
6¢
N/A
$1,378
3%
52%
$584
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Iran / Middle East

45%
5%
Yes 44¢No 61¢
5¢
N/A
$491
21%
40%
$388
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Drone

36%
Yes 35¢No 72¢
7¢
N/A
$677
5%
45%
$411
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

China

31%
Yes 31¢No 77¢
8¢
N/A
$44
2%
10%
$41
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Snowflake

30%
Yes 36¢No 71¢
7¢
N/A
$307
0%
15%
$214
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Pinterest

17%
6%
Yes 27¢No 80¢
7¢
N/A
$188
14%
29%
$152
5mo 2w 3d
active
kalshi

Layoff / Job Cuts

6%
Yes 7¢No 99¢
6¢
N/A
$413
0%
35%
$237
5mo 2w 3d
active
Total markets: 22

Description

During Amazon's upcoming earnings call, participants will discuss various strategic topics and business updates that reflect the company's current priorities and challenges. The call may touch on technological partnerships, operational adjustments, and market-specific strategies, offering insight into Amazon's direction.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if a specified term or phrase is uttered by any Amazon representative during the earnings call, including the operator or during the Q+A session. Resolution relies first on video footage of the call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus using video, transcripts from the call will be consulted, referencing news publications listed in the contract. Payouts depend on the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form being used, excluding grammatical or tense variations. Kalshi clarifies it holds no affiliation with Amazon, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Amazon earnings call market tracks the current odds for various outcomes related to what Amazon executives will say during their next earnings call. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $690. Overall volume for this market is $49,162. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different statements being made by Amazon leadership, offering insights into market sentiment before the official announcement.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts regarding the topics Amazon will address on their earnings call. While analysts often focus on quantitative metrics and financial projections, this market allows traders to weigh in on the qualitative aspects of the call—specifically, the language and themes Amazon’s executives will emphasize. This can provide a more nuanced view of expectations, as traders incorporate a wider range of information and potential scenarios into their assessments. The market’s collective wisdom may anticipate shifts in strategy or emerging priorities that aren't immediately apparent in standard analyst reports.

This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, following the completion of Amazon’s next earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verified against credible public reporting. The market will assess whether the key phrases or topics represented by each outcome were explicitly mentioned by Amazon executives during the call. The resolution process focuses on direct statements made during the call, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on publicly available information.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Mar 31, 2027. Unexpected news regarding Amazon’s financial performance, major product announcements, or shifts in the broader economic landscape could all influence trader sentiment. Any pre-earnings commentary from Amazon executives or leaks about the call’s content would also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader market trends, competitor announcements, and analyst upgrades or downgrades related to Amazon could all contribute to changes in the odds within this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in market expectations.