TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Airbnb stock will reach specific price levels during May 2026. On Polymarket, the probability that ABNB touches $140 during the month stands at 7.3%, while the probability it reaches a low of $128 is 5.5%. Resolution will be determined by Pyth Network price data. Traders should monitor Airbnb's earnings reports and booking trends leading up to June 1, 2026, when the May price action resolves.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the May 2026 trading period closes. Resolution is determined by whether ABNB's stock price reaches or exceeds the specified threshold at any point during May 2026. Each outcome is binary: either the price target is hit, or it is not. Official closing prices and intraday highs are typically used to verify whether the condition was met. Once the resolution date arrives, the market settles based on verified price data, and traders receive payouts according to the outcome.
Key catalysts include Airbnb's quarterly earnings reports, forward guidance, and changes to travel demand or regulatory policy affecting short-term rentals. Macroeconomic shifts—interest rates, consumer spending, inflation data—can influence travel stocks broadly. Management commentary on pricing power, international expansion, and host supply also moves sentiment. Competitive developments in the vacation rental and hospitality space, travel industry trends, and geopolitical events affecting tourism can shift trader expectations about whether ABNB will reach specific price levels. Real-time stock momentum and technical levels may also trigger buying or selling pressure as May 2026 approaches.