TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 9:54 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Abigail Spanberger mentions specific topics during the NAN March on Washington. Each market focuses on a different phrase or term, and resolution depends on whether she utters the exact word or its variants in an official capacity during the event.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on whether Abigail Spanberger utters specific exact phrases during the NAN March on Washington. Each market has a primary rule stating that if Spanberger says the designated phrase (or its plural/possessive form), the market resolves to Yes. A secondary rule outlines resolution using live video broadcasts or official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. All markets share common payout criteria excluding grammatical variations, inaudible private conversations, and content from separate events. Additionally, if the event is canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. If postponed within 14 days, markets remain open. The outcome hinges strictly on official-capacity utterances during the live event.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch live coverage and official transcripts from the March on Washington to determine whether Spanberger’s statements match any of the defined options. The market settles based on what she actually says during the event.
Key signals include early speech previews, media interviews, campaign press releases, and any last-minute changes to her planned remarks. Polling data showing public expectations, endorsements from major figures, or breaking news about the event itself can also shift trader sentiment. All of these factors may cause rapid price changes on Kalshi as the March on Washington approaches.