TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets ask whether the price of XRP will reach or fall to specific levels between September 7th and 13th. Kalshi markets focus on whether XRP will hit certain price points, while Polymarket asks about reaching specific highs or dipping to specific lows.
What price will XRP hit September 7-13?
The event resolves based on the simple average price of XRP measured by CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) during the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with one market designated for prices at or below $0.91999 and another for prices above $1.8799. If the data required to calculate the average is unavailable or incomplete at the specified expiration time, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The Exchange ensures clarity regarding which version or ticker of XRP is being tracked, and the CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index continuously provides pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent a forward-looking assessment of probability, distinct from current spot prices which reflect immediate supply and demand. The implied probabilities within this market offer a different perspective than traditional financial forecasts. If the odds heavily favor a specific price range, it suggests traders collectively anticipate that outcome. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and spot prices can arise from factors like perceived risk, future news events, or differing interpretations of market fundamentals. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements for XRP.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique user base with potentially differing risk appetites and informational advantages. Furthermore, the 24-hour volume on each platform – currently $18,916 – can influence price discovery. Differences in trading fees or platform features can also contribute to price discrepancies. While both platforms address the same question, these factors can lead to distinct price formations within this market, offering opportunities for arbitrage or highlighting differing perspectives on the future XRP price.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding regulatory decisions concerning XRP, partnerships with prominent companies, or substantial technological advancements related to the XRP Ledger could all drive price movements. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, such as Bitcoin's performance or shifts in investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial conditions could also influence the XRP price and, consequently, the predictions within this market.