TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What price will XRP hit September 7-13?
kalshi
polymarket

What price will XRP hit September 7-13?

Volume:
$62,322

$1.36 to 1.3799

 - Kalshi

$1.36 to 1.3799 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.36 to 1.3799

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,649
N/A
N/A
$2,442
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 1.40

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 1.60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.38 to 1.3999

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,196
N/A
N/A
$5,295
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.5 to 1.5199

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,369
N/A
N/A
$6,361
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1.30

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,549
N/A
N/A
$5,327
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 1.50

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 1.70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,451
N/A
N/A
$1,489
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,433
N/A
N/A
$1,039
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,807
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 0.70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 0.80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.42 to 1.4399

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$963
N/A
N/A
$949
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1.20

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2.10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.28 to 1.2999

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 1.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 1.80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 0.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.32 to 1.3399

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1.10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 68

Description

These markets ask whether the price of XRP will reach or fall to specific levels between September 7th and 13th. Kalshi markets focus on whether XRP will hit certain price points, while Polymarket asks about reaching specific highs or dipping to specific lows.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses price ranges on a specific date, while Polymarket uses a single price hit at any point during the date range.Hero tip: Consider the differing resolution criteria when evaluating these markets. Polymarket's 'any touch' resolution makes it more sensitive to short-term volatility.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if XRP reaches a specific price (e.g., $2.10) at any point during the date range, using Binance 1-minute candle data. "This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT during the date range specified in the title...has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if XRP's average price falls within a range of pre-defined price buckets on September 11, 2026. "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 1.02000-1.0399 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will XRP hit September 7-13?

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average price of XRP measured by CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) during the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with one market designated for prices at or below $0.91999 and another for prices above $1.8799. If the data required to calculate the average is unavailable or incomplete at the specified expiration time, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The Exchange ensures clarity regarding which version or ticker of XRP is being tracked, and the CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index continuously provides pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the XRP price market dashboard tracks predictions on the price of XRP between September 7th and September 13th. This aggregated view combines trading volume and price forecasts from both platforms to provide a consensus view of where traders believe XRP will settle. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $62,322, indicating significant interest in this market. The dashboard allows users to compare probabilities and potential payouts, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for the XRP price during this period. This is a valuable tool for understanding market sentiment surrounding the XRP price.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent a forward-looking assessment of probability, distinct from current spot prices which reflect immediate supply and demand. The implied probabilities within this market offer a different perspective than traditional financial forecasts. If the odds heavily favor a specific price range, it suggests traders collectively anticipate that outcome. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and spot prices can arise from factors like perceived risk, future news events, or differing interpretations of market fundamentals. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements for XRP.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique user base with potentially differing risk appetites and informational advantages. Furthermore, the 24-hour volume on each platform – currently $18,916 – can influence price discovery. Differences in trading fees or platform features can also contribute to price discrepancies. While both platforms address the same question, these factors can lead to distinct price formations within this market, offering opportunities for arbitrage or highlighting differing perspectives on the future XRP price.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding regulatory decisions concerning XRP, partnerships with prominent companies, or substantial technological advancements related to the XRP Ledger could all drive price movements. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, such as Bitcoin's performance or shifts in investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial conditions could also influence the XRP price and, consequently, the predictions within this market.