TOTAL VOLUME:
$131.1b
24H VOL:
$108,125,858
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,313,328,591
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,370,971,560
376,001
Markets across
30,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,814
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
40%
VS.
Kalshi:
60%
Time left: 07d:02h:05m
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This market tracks the probability of Solana reaching $120 on the Binance exchange during the month of September. Currently, the consensus probability of Solana reaching this price point is 61.1%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candles. The markets resolve based on whether a 1-minute candle’s high price meets or exceeds the specified threshold during September. Keep an eye on trading activity as September 30th approaches, as that marks the end of the betting period and the final window for resolution.
What price will Solana hit in September?
What price will Solana hit in September?
Prediction market odds reflect a crowd-sourced forecast of future events, offering a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices represent the current market value, while this market incorporates beliefs about future price movements, factoring in potential catalysts and risks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, risk appetites, and information access among market participants. A significant difference between prediction market probabilities and implied spot price expectations could signal a potential trading opportunity or a disagreement about Solana's future performance.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with unique perspectives and risk tolerances, leading to differing probabilities assigned to the same outcome. Furthermore, trading limits, fee structures, and liquidity can influence price discovery on each venue. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Solana reach $120 in September? at 61.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Solana reach $120 in September? at 55.9%.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Solana in September will be determined by a reputable source for cryptocurrency pricing data, reflecting the average price across major exchanges during that month. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the Solana price market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or macroeconomic shifts, could influence investor sentiment. Specific to Solana, network upgrades, adoption by decentralized applications (dApps), and partnerships could drive price increases, while security breaches or scalability issues could lead to declines. News regarding competing blockchain projects and overall market risk appetite will also play a role in shaping the probabilities reflected in this market.