TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:09 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a higher probability of the Google stock price increasing, as indicated by the top outcome. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders, which can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. These forecasts are often based on financial modeling and company reports, while this market reflects real-money bets on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the inclusion of factors not typically considered in standard analysis.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Google stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price being reached during the week of September 21, 2026. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the supply and demand for these contracts, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the closing price of Google (GOOGL) stock on a recognized exchange during the specified week. This price will be sourced from publicly available financial data and verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted price range aligns with the actual closing price during that week.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Google regarding new products, earnings reports, or significant changes in leadership would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the overall stock market, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry disruptions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on evolving circumstances.