TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
↓ 2,300
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 19, 2026
Time left: 03d:23h:27m
$
This group of markets asks whether the price of Ethereum (ETH), as measured by the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance, will reach specific price levels or fall to specific price levels between October 12th and October 18th. Markets cover both upside and downside price targets.
What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders, offering a unique perspective on future price movements compared to traditional spot price expectations. The implied probabilities within this market, driven by volume of $122,611 over the last 24 hours, represent a forecast of Ethereum’s price range. These odds can differ from those derived from futures contracts or analyst predictions, as they incorporate a broader range of information and incentives. Analyzing the difference between prediction market prices and spot prices can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price volatility.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? at 47.0%, while Limitless leans toward What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?: ↓ 2,300 at 44.3%. These discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information access, risk appetite among traders on each platform, or even the specific incentives offered by each venue. The 24-hour volume on each platform also plays a role, with Limitless currently experiencing volume of $122,611.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Ethereum between October 12th and 18th will be determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available source for cryptocurrency pricing data. The market will settle based on the closing price within that specified timeframe, as reported by the chosen data source. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ethereum’s development, such as successful upgrades or security vulnerabilities, could trigger price swings. Broader macroeconomic factors, like interest rate decisions or inflation reports, can also influence investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulations in key jurisdictions are another potential catalyst. Finally, significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market, driven by events affecting Bitcoin or other major altcoins, could also move this market before Oct 19, 2026.