TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What price will Ethereum hit in October?
predict
polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 1:07 AM EST - Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,821,579
Volume 24h:
$367,132
684%
Liquidity:
$1,544,236
32%
Open interest:
$874,519N/A

↓ 2,300

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 16d:23h:27m

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 79.9¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 77% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 16 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

↓ 2,300

Trade
77%
39%
Yes 79.9¢No 26¢
5.9¢
$35,426
$1,079
85%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,300

Trade
74%
36%
Yes 74¢No 27¢
1¢
$53,365
$49,102
13%
50%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
73.6%
Yes 77¢No 26.5¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 5.9¢
polymarket

↑ 2,500

Trade
55%
Yes 57¢No 47¢
4¢
$7,353
$1,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ 2,200

Trade
48%
27%
Yes 50¢No 54¢
4¢
$36,579
$742
57%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,200

Trade
47%
25%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
$55,521
$72,466
7%
58%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
46.5%
Yes 48.5¢No 54¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

↑ 2,600

Trade
37%
36%
Yes 37¢No 64¢
1¢
$42,194
$80,603
342%
9,472%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,100

Trade
28%
17%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$58,299
$307,575
0.17%
8%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ 2,100

Trade
26%
10%
Yes 25.6¢No 74.7¢
0.3¢
$36,416
$395
15%
87%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 27.3¢No 73.4¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↑ 2,700

Trade
20%
24%
Yes 20¢No 81¢
1¢
$37,312
$29,276
67%
4,516%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,000

Trade
15%
9%
Yes 15.6¢No 85.2¢
0.8¢
$50,469
$45,282
16%
91%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ 2,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.8¢
$29,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.2%
Yes 15.6¢No 85.2¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 4.8¢
polymarket

↑ 2,800

Trade
13%
16%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$54,897
$177,725
2%
27%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ 2,800

Trade
12%
16%
Yes 14.8¢No 90.4¢
5.2¢
$33,334
$3,559
0%
7%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.5%
Yes 13.9¢No 89.2¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 5.2¢
polymarket

↓ 1,900

Trade
9%
5%
Yes 9.1¢No 91.3¢
0.4¢
$63,240
$83,849
25%
202%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ 1,900

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.9¢
$29,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8.9%
Yes 9.1¢No 91.3¢
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 4.9¢
predict

↑ 2,900

Trade
7%
9%
Yes 7.7¢No 93.6¢
1.3¢
$36,435
$1,191
30%
84%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ 2,900

Trade
7%
9%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
$50,245
$83,174
7%
36%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7%
Yes 7.9¢No 93.8¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 2¢
predict

↑ 3,000

Trade
6%
4%
Yes 7.7¢No 94.9¢
2.6¢
$36,676
$12
0%
30%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ 3,000

Trade
6%
5%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$61,195
$122,802
48%
76%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.5%
Yes 6.9¢No 95¢
Avg: 1.8¢Max: 2.6¢
polymarket

↓ 1,800

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.9¢
0.7¢
$58,326
$132,943
13%
88%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ 1,800

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 5¢No 98.1¢
3.1¢
$36,755
$200
0%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.4%
Yes 4.9¢No 97¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 3.1¢
polymarket

↑ 3,100

Trade
4%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.9¢
0.8¢
$47,449
$52,393
19%
177%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ 3,100

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.2¢
$29,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.9¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.2¢
predict

↑ 3,200

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.7¢
0.8¢
$35,901
$95
0%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ 3,200

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.3¢
0.2¢
$51,777
$58,089
1%
151%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.8%
Yes 3.5¢No 97¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.8¢
Total markets: 25 of 52

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Ethereum’s price dipping to $2,300 during the month of October. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Predict and Polymarket gives a 77.5% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, as defined by the high or low price touching or exceeding the specified level. Keep an eye on trading activity throughout October, with resolution determined by data up to November 1, 2026, to see if Ethereum reaches this price point.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, specifying high/low price thresholds for 'reach' and 'dip' markets.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on the final High price of a 1-minute candle for 'reach' markets.
  • Resolution depends on the final Low price of a 1-minute candle for 'dip' markets.
  • Resolution occurs if any 1-minute candle within October (00:00 AM ET Oct 1st - 11:59 PM ET Oct 31st) meets the price threshold.
  • Only Binance ETH/USDT prices are considered; other exchanges or pairs are excluded.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a 1-minute candle's High/Low price *exactly* matches the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Multiple Occurrences: The market resolves to 'Yes' upon the *first* instance of the threshold being met, even if it happens multiple times during October.
Timing: The markets will resolve immediately when a qualifying 1-minute candle is observed during the specified timeframe (October 1st 00:00 AM ET to October 31st 11:59 PM ET).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Predict

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this market tracks predictions about the Ethereum price in October. Currently, there's a consensus view forming around potential price levels, with a total volume of $1,820,347 and $229,807 in 24-hour volume. Polymarket currently favors Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? at 73.5%, while Predict leans toward Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? at 77.0%. This dashboard aggregates data from both platforms, offering a comprehensive look at where traders believe the Ethereum price will land by the end of October.

Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations. This market, focused on the Ethereum price in October, provides a forward-looking assessment based on traders’ beliefs about potential price movements. These beliefs are expressed through buy and sell orders, creating a dynamic price that incorporates diverse information and viewpoints. While spot prices reflect current market conditions, this market attempts to forecast future value based on collective intelligence, and can be a useful tool for risk assessment.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket often attracts a different user base than Predict, leading to differing opinions on the Ethereum price in October. Furthermore, the volume on each platform—currently $1,820,347 overall—can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the spread of 3.5 observed between the two venues, even though both are forecasting the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a widely-recognized source for Ethereum pricing data, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders should monitor news and market data leading up to this date to assess potential impacts on the Ethereum price. The outcome will reflect the average Ethereum price during the month of October, as reported by the chosen data source.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Ethereum, could trigger substantial price movements. Significant upgrades to the Ethereum network, such as the Shapella upgrade, or unexpected vulnerabilities discovered could also influence trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like interest rate decisions or inflation reports, can affect risk appetite and impact the entire crypto market. Finally, large-scale adoption of Ethereum by institutions or significant shifts in market sentiment could all contribute to changes in the Ethereum price in October.