TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ethereum will reach specific price levels during May, based on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle data. On Polymarket, the probability that Ethereum touches $2,600 in May stands at 10.0%, while the probability it dips to $1,800 in May is 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by Binance's ETH/USDT High prices, with any candle reaching or exceeding the target price triggering a Yes outcome. Watch for significant volatility or sustained rallies during May, as even a single one-minute candle hitting the threshold will resolve the market.
Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about Ethereum's May price range, which may diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. The market prices in uncertainty, regulatory risk, macroeconomic conditions, and technical momentum. Comparing prediction odds to real-time Ethereum spot prices and consensus analyst price targets reveals whether traders expect upside, downside, or consolidation. Significant gaps between market-implied probabilities and external forecasts often signal where informed traders see value or risk.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, macroeconomic data releases, and regulatory developments affecting crypto markets. Institutional adoption news, staking yield changes, and competing layer-2 scaling solutions can also shift sentiment. Technical breakouts above or below key resistance and support levels often trigger rapid repricing. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility may influence risk appetite for digital assets heading into May.