TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Dogecoin will reach specific price levels during May, using Binance DOGE/USDT one-minute candle data as the resolution source. On Polymarket, the probability that Dogecoin reaches $0.25 in May stands at 10.0%, while the probability it dips to $0.05 in May is also 10.0%. Resolution depends on whether any single one-minute candle on Binance records a High price meeting or exceeding the target during the calendar month from 00:00 AM ET on May 1st through 11:59 PM ET on May 31st. Watch Binance DOGE/USDT intraday volatility throughout May for potential resolution triggers.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Dogecoin's May price range, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility expectations. While spot markets price Dogecoin for immediate settlement, this prediction market embeds forward-looking sentiment about price movement over the next several months. Analyst price targets and on-chain metrics may suggest different probabilities than market odds, creating opportunities for traders who believe the consensus is mispriced. Comparing these views helps identify whether the market is pricing in sufficient upside or downside risk.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Dogecoin's price meets the specified threshold during the May period. Traders should monitor Dogecoin's price action throughout May and be aware of the exact resolution criteria, which typically reference a specific price feed or exchange. The outcome is binary: either the target is reached or it is not. Clarity on the data source and timing of the price check is essential for understanding your position as the resolution date approaches.
Major catalysts include Bitcoin price movements, since Dogecoin typically correlates with BTC, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, and Dogecoin-specific developments such as exchange listings or protocol updates. Macroeconomic events like inflation data or central bank policy shifts can drive broad crypto sentiment. Social media trends and celebrity endorsements have historically moved Dogecoin significantly. Technical levels and options expiry dates may trigger volatility spikes. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate whether Dogecoin will reach the May price target, adjusting positions accordingly as conditions evolve.