TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Science and Technology
What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?
polymarket
limitless

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$537,138
Volume 24h:
$323,370
296%
Liquidity:
$639,383
8%
Open interest:
$282,176N/A

↓ 80,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 19, 2026

Time left: 03d:23h:27m

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?

68%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 68¢ buys you 147 shares | Odds: 68% Total Payout: $147 | Net Profit: $47 Multiplier: 1.47x | ROI: 47% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 80,000

Trade
68%
49%
Yes 68¢No 33¢
1¢
$48,107
$54,133
151%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 80,000

Trade
64%
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢
8¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
67.5%
Yes 65.8¢No 34.8¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

↑ 84,000

Trade
31%
Yes 32¢No 70¢
2¢
$32,437
$1,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
polymarket

↓ 78,000

Trade
27%
20%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$47,853
$24,402
63%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 78,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 7¢
limitless

↑ 86,000

Trade
11%
34%
Yes 11.3¢No 88.8¢
5.5¢
N/A
$4
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
polymarket

↑ 86,000

Trade
10%
36%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
$42,754
$16,078
123%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 11.2¢No 89.9¢
Avg: 3.8¢Max: 5.5¢
polymarket

↓ 76,000

Trade
9%
7%
Yes 9.6¢No 90.8¢
0.4¢
$45,933
$68,715
92%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 76,000

Trade
9%
7%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
3¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.4%
Yes 9.3¢No 90.9¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 3¢
limitless

↑ 88,000

Trade
4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢
3.5¢
N/A
$0
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
polymarket

↑ 88,000

Trade
4%
14%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.6¢
0.2¢
$44,841
$40,290
163%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.4¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 3.5¢
polymarket

↓ 74,000

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.9¢
0.4¢
$57,874
$75,719
179%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 74,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.3%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.9¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.5¢
limitless

↑ 90,000

Trade
2%
4%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$75
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
2%
4%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.5¢
0.4¢
$48,008
$88,940
302%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.7%
Yes 2¢No 98.3¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

↓ 72,000

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
0.1¢
$60,252
$59,476
165%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 72,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.4%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1.5¢
polymarket

↑ 92,000

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
0.4¢
$38,919
$42,010
74%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↑ 92,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2.4¢
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.4¢
0.5¢
$46,588
$16,593
42%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↓ 70,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.4¢
polymarket

↑ 94,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
$37,629
$13,829
209%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↑ 94,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1.9¢
polymarket

↑ 96,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$44,252
$11,097
89%
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
limitless

↑ 96,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 27m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1.4¢
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $80,000 between October 12th and October 18th. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Limitless indicates a 74.5% probability of this outcome. Resolution will be based on whether a 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle hits $80,000 during that timeframe, as determined by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). Keep an eye on trading activity during the October 12-18 window, as the final candle within that period will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless markets utilize identical resolution criteria based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data within the October 12-18 timeframe.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the final 'High' price for 'hit' markets.
  • Resolution is determined by the final 'Low' price for 'dip' markets.
  • Any 1-minute candle within the specified date range (12:00 AM ET Oct 12 - 11:59 PM ET Oct 18) that meets the price threshold will resolve the market to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle Formation: If a candle's High/Low exactly matches the target price, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable during the resolution period, resolution will be delayed until data is available. If data remains unavailable, the market may be cancelled.
Timing: Markets will resolve immediately upon the first 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle meeting the specified price criteria within the October 12-18 timeframe.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

Limitless

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, offer a forward-looking perspective on the price of Bitcoin, differing from the current spot price. They reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the future price. When the odds strongly favor a price above the current spot price, it suggests the market anticipates an increase. Conversely, lower odds indicate expectations of a price decrease. This market, by combining data from Polymarket and Limitless, provides a nuanced view of these expectations, potentially revealing insights not immediately apparent from traditional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price during the October 12-18th window is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a reliable source for Bitcoin pricing data, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will then be able to see which predictions were correct and receive payouts accordingly based on the probabilities established during trading. This process provides a clear and objective determination of the outcome.

Numerous factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption by institutions, regulatory announcements impacting cryptocurrency, or unexpected macroeconomic events could all trigger price swings. Technical analysis signals, such as breaking key resistance or support levels, can also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, developments in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, like advancements in layer-2 scaling solutions or changes in Ethereum's monetary policy, could indirectly affect the Bitcoin price and, consequently, the probabilities within this market.