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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What price will Bitcoin hit August 3-9?
opinion
polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit August 3-9?

Volume:
$1,589,427

↑ 64,000

 - Polymarket

↑ 64,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 64,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 68,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 66,000

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 74,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 58,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 56,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 76,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 52,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 50,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 54,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 48,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<54,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

54,000-56,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

56,000-58,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

58,000-60,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

60,000-62,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

62,000-64,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

64,000-66,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

66,000-68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

68,000-70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

>72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will reach $66,000 during the week of August 3 to 9. The current aggregated consensus probability for Bitcoin hitting this price level stands at 50.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Opinion. Resolution will be determined using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data. The outcome hinges on Bitcoin’s price action within the specified week, with final confirmation available after August 10.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance 1-minute candle data as the sole resolution source with consistent timing windows and clear threshold definitionsPrimary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Upward threshold markets resolve 'Yes' if any candle's high >= specified price
  • Downward threshold markets resolve 'Yes' if any candle's low <= specified price
  • All markets resolve 'No' if their respective threshold conditions are never met during the period

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle timing: Resolution depends on UTC time conversion from ET - ensure proper timezone handling
  • Threshold equality: Markets resolve 'Yes' if price equals threshold (inclusive boundary)
Timing: Resolves immediately after August 9, 11:59 PM ET once all candles for the period are recordedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit August 3-9?

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The short_topic dashboard aggregates predictions from multiple platforms, showing how traders price Bitcoin’s likely range for August 3–9. It displays consensus views and volume trends, letting users compare outlooks across venues. With volume of $1,589,427, the dashboard reflects collective sentiment and betting activity. This real-time view helps participants spot shifts in market expectations as the resolution window approaches.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from the current spot price, reflecting trader expectations about future volatility and macroeconomic signals. In this market, the probability curve is shaped by technical analysis, macro data, and sentiment trends, frequently pricing in moves beyond immediate market levels. These odds can therefore act as a leading indicator, sometimes showing bullish or bearish bias before spot prices shift.