TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 18, 11:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will use specific inflammatory nicknames and phrases targeting political figures before a set deadline. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Trump will say "Biden Crime Family" or a plural or possessive form of it before July 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET—stands at 1.0%. The second outcome, that Trump will say "Low Energy" before the same date, also sits at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by statements made by Donald Trump as documented in public records. Watch for Trump's public remarks and statements through June 30, 2026, the final day of the betting window.
The event resolves Yes if Donald Trump states any of the tracked phrases—including Witch Hunt, Barack Hussein Obama, Biden Crime Family, Comrade Kamala, Crazy Bernie, Crooked Hillary, Crying Chuck/Cryin Chuck, Grossly Incompetent, Sleazebag, Crooked Joe, Low IQ, Too Late, Little Communist, Marjorie Traitor Greene, Newscum, Pocahontas, Slopadopolous/Slopadopolus, Whack Job/Wack Job, Rocket Man, Low Energy, Con Job, Piggy, Tampon Tim, or Fat Slob—before July 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Statements must be made by President Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrants" counts as "immigrant"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are excluded. For phrases with slashes, either word satisfies the criterion.
Trump's public statements, campaign rallies, and social media posts are the primary catalysts for this market. Any new nickname he coins or revives will immediately shift odds for related outcomes. Political developments involving the figures he might nickname—such as controversies or media coverage—could increase the likelihood he deploys a specific epithet. Major news cycles, election-related events, and shifts in Trump's rhetorical focus will all influence trader expectations about which nicknames he'll actually say before Jul 1, 2026.