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Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$32,384

Above 80

 - Kalshi

Above 80 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 10:47 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 80

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 85

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,609
N/A
N/A
$4,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 85.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,676
N/A
N/A
$3,455
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 89

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,836
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 87.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
$1,274
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 89.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,058
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 88.5

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,950
N/A
N/A
$863
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 86

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
$1,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,743
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 87

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$1,067
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 86.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 91

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$853
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 88

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
$244
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 81

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 82

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

The markets assess whether Wendy's credit card spending in August 2026 will exceed various thresholds, based on year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits. The thresholds range incrementally from 85 to 91, with each threshold representing a different level of growth compared to the same month in the previous year. The data is sourced from Carbon Arc, which uses mobile location data to track visits, adjusting for seasonal factors and holidays.

Kalshi

All markets share a common framework for determining outcomes based on the Carbon Arc Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. Each market specifies a unique threshold value, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index for August 2026 exceeds that threshold. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with a base value of 100 indicating no change from the prior year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. The index is derived from mobile location data across over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. Crucially, resolution relies solely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026; any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement date will not alter the outcome. This consistent methodology ensures that all markets are evaluated against the same data source and timing, maintaining uniformity across differing threshold levels.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Wendy's August credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for Wendy's credit card spending figures in August. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment, giving users a clear view of market dynamics and trader confidence as the resolution date approaches.

Currently, prediction market odds for this market suggest a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize macro trends or company-specific factors, traders on Kalshi are incorporating real-time data, sentiment, and short-term expectations into their bets. This can lead to divergence, where market prices reflect a more immediate or speculative view, often reacting faster to news or shifts in consumer behavior than traditional research reports.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will match official Wendy's financial disclosures for August, closing all positions based on the actual credit card spend figures released.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key catalysts include monthly sales reports from Wendy's, broader fast-food industry trends, consumer confidence surveys, and any unexpected economic announcements affecting dining-out behavior. Additionally, media coverage of Wendy's promotions or supply-chain updates may influence trader sentiment. As Sep 14, 2026 approaches, any last-minute revisions to spending forecasts or preliminary data releases could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.