TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.3b

24H VOL:

$160,757,820

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,796,460,506

516,586

Markets across

38,144

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
kalshi

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

Aug 17, 2026, 9:00 PM EST - Mar 7, 2027, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$453,156
Volume 24h:
$119,082N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$50,625
0%

Above 235,000 jobs

 - Kalshi

Above 235,000 jobs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 7, 2027

Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 3% 134 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 235,000 jobs

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$13,409
0%
0%
$300
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 240,000 jobs

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$82,692
0%
4%
$3,266
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 245,000 jobs

Trade
95%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$21,290
0%
34%
$2,396
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 250,000 jobs

Trade
93%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$49,511
0%
10%
$5,720
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 255,000 jobs

Trade
77%
Yes 74¢No 28¢
2¢
N/A
$85,944
0%
23%
$9,318
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 260,000 jobs

Trade
44%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$50,863
0%
14%
$6,359
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 265,000 jobs

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$45,856
0%
14%
$7,244
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 270,000 jobs

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$53,290
0.76%
22%
$8,295
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 280,000 jobs

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$21,694
0%
3%
$2,239
4mo 2w
active
kalshi

Above 275,000 jobs

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$28,606
0.95%
14%
$5,488
4mo 2w
active
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of professional, scientific, and technical services employment in Washington state by the end of 2026. It focuses on whether employment numbers exceed specific thresholds as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The outcome depends on official BLS data for December 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports Washington state's seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 exceeds one of several sequential thresholds: 265,000, 270,000, 275,000, or 280,000 jobs. The resolution uses the first non-preliminary BLS estimate for that month, with employment measured in thousands of jobs. Any subsequent revisions to the data do not affect the outcome. Each threshold represents a distinct market, and the market resolves to Yes if the reported employment figure surpasses its specific threshold, with the highest threshold providing the most stringent condition.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the odds and price history for the Washington PST employment market, along with 24-hour volume of $1,238. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of employment changes in professional, scientific, and technical services in Washington by the end of 2026.

Currently, this market suggests a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward stability or modest growth, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes. The gap between market odds and traditional forecasts can highlight areas where market participants see higher uncertainty or divergent expectations about economic policy impacts.

This market resolves around Mar 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the employment figures for Washington’s professional, scientific, and technical services sector at the end of 2026 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final data point will settle all positions based on the official statistics released at that time.

Key events that could shift this market include quarterly employment reports, major policy announcements from state or federal authorities, shifts in industry investment, and broader economic indicators such as interest rate decisions. Any data suggesting stronger or weaker hiring trends will be closely watched by traders and could cause rapid price changes.